A validation study for a clinical decision rule for acute wrist injury

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ORIGINAL ARTICLE

A validation study for a clinical decision rule for acute wrist injury Anne Brants1 · Berwout van der Woude1   · Michiel IJsseldijk2 · Dan Thao Vy3 · René Verbeek4 Received: 9 May 2020 / Accepted: 21 August 2020 © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2020

Abstract Purpose  Acute wrist injury is a common reason for visiting the emergency department. To date, there are no implemented clinical decision rules to predict a fracture in this group of patients. We previously identified six clinical predictors in adult patients with acute wrist trauma. The aim of this study was to validate these predictors as a decision rule in a validation cohort. Methods  This prospective cohort study was conducted in the emergency department at five hospitals in the Netherlands and included adults with acute wrist injury. All collaborating physicians performed a standardized physical examination and data were collected in a case report form. The main outcome was defined as the radiographic presence of a wrist fracture. Six clinical variables that were significantly associated with a fracture (ρ  55 years   > 60 years Gender  Male vs. female Setting of injury  Fall onto an outstretched hand  Sports injury  Road traffic accident  Other Patient history  Loss of function  Support needed for pain relief  Direct swelling of the wrist Physical examination  Swelling and/or hematoma  Swelling  Hematoma  Visible wrist deformity Tenderness on palpation  Distal radius  Distal ulna  Anatomic snuff box/scaphoid  Other carpal bones Decreased range of motion  Reduced range of motion (any)  Pronation  Supination  Dorsal flexion  Palmar flexion  Radial deviation  Ulnar deviation

χ2-test (95% CI)

Table 4  The association between clinical variables and presence of a fracture (N = 493) for 724 injuries

p

4.91 (3.51–6.87) 4.20 (3.01–5.85) 3.08 (2.20–4.31)