Ageing, Financial Markets and Monetary Policy

net income. It draws on the experience gained when the social security system in Italy was reformed in the early 1990s, which led to drastic reductions in the number of claims against the statutory pension scheme. The various sectors of the population (el

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Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg GmbH

Alan J. Auerbach· Heinz Herrmann (Editors)

Ageing, Financial Markets and Monetary Policy

With 32 Figures and 38 Tables

Springer

Professor Alan J. Auerbach University of California Department of Economics 549 Evans Hall Berkeley, CA 94720-3880 USA [email protected] Dr. Heinz Herrmann Deutsche Bundesbank Wilhelm-Epstein-StraBe 14 60431 Frankfurt am Main Germany [email protected]

ISBN 978-3-642-07661-9 ISBN 978-3-662-04779-8 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-662-04779-8 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data applied for Die Deutsche Bibliothek - CIP-Einheitsaufnahme Ageing, financial markets and monetary policy I ed.: Alan Auerbach; Heinz Herrmann. - Berlin; Heidelberg; New York; Barcelona; Hong Kong; London; Milan; Paris; Tokyo: Springer, 2002

This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilm or in any other way, and storage in data banks. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the German Copyright Law of September 9, 1965, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg GmbH. Violations are liable for prosecution under the German Copyright Law.

http://www.springer.de Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2002 Originally published by Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg New York in 2002 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2002 ©

The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. Hardcover-Design: Erich Kirchner, Heidelberg SPIN 10854752

42/2202-5 4 3 2 1 0 - Printed on acid-free paper

Contents

Ageing, financial markets and monetary policy - a summary Alan Auerbach and Heinz Herrmann

Chapter 1 Ageing and Saving in Europe Agar Brugiavini Discussion Reinhold Schnabel

9

49

Chapter 2 Ageing and International Capital Flows Axel Borsch-Supan, Alexander Ludwig and Joachim Winter

55

Discussion Gary Hujbauer

84

Discussion Ulrich Grosch

90

VI

Contents

Chapter 3 Developments in Decumulation: The Role of Annuity Products in Financing Retirement Olivia Mitchell

97

Discussion David Blake

126

Discussion Friedrich Breyer

134

Chapter 4 Retirement Savings in an Ageing Society: A Case for Innovative Government Debt Management Henning Bohn 139 Discussion Alan Auerbach

182

Discussion Philipp Rother

187

Chapter 5 Ageing and Financial Stability E. Philip Davis

191

Discussion Franklin Allen

228

Discussion Martin Hellwig

235

Contents

VII

Chapter 6

Should Monetary Policy be Different in a Greyer World? David Miles

243

Discussion Hiroshi Fujiki

277

Discussion Benoit Mojon

286

Chapter 7

Ageing as a Challenge fo