CMR quantification of aortic regurgitation in asymptomatic patients with significant aortic regurgitation: prediction of

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CMR quantification of aortic regurgitation in asymptomatic patients with significant aortic regurgitation: prediction of clinical outcome Saul G Myerson1*, Jo D’Arcy1, John P Greenwood2, Raad Mohiaddin3, Theodoros D Karamitsos1, Jane M Francis1, Adrian P Banning4, Jonathan P Christiansen5, Stefan Neubauer1 From 2011 SCMR/Euro CMR Joint Scientific Sessions Nice, France. 3-6 February 2011 Introduction The timing of valve surgery in asymptomatic patients with significant aortic regurgitation can be challenging. Current indications focus on symptoms and left ventricular (LV) dilation/dysfunction, but prognosis is already reduced by this time. Quantification of the regurgitation has not previously been used to guide management, likely due to the difficulty of achieving this with echocardiography. Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) can accurately quantify aortic regurgitation and LV volumes, and we examined whether either could predict symptom development and the need for aortic valve surgery. Methods 94 asymptomatic patients with moderate or severe aortic regurgitation on echocardiography were identified from four high volume CMR centres. CMR was performed to quantify aortic regurgitation and LV volume indices, and subsequent clinical follow up occurred for up to 7 years (mean 2.6 ±2.1 years). The best predictors of progression to symptoms and other conventional indications for surgery were determined.

regurgitant fraction 38mls and regurgitant volume index >25mls/m 2 were also good predictors (AUC 0.91 and 0.90 respectively), though regurgitant fraction had significantly greater predictive power (odds ratio 1.26 compared to 1.09 for regurgitant volume). LV volumetric indices also predicted outcome, but less strongly than measures of regurgitation: LV end-diastolic volume >267mls (AUC 0.85), LV end-systolic volume >88mls (AUC 0.78). Regurgitant fraction and volume were the only independent outcome predictors on multiple logistic regression analysis. The predictive ability of CMR applied to patients with both moderate and severe aortic regurgitation on echocardiography. Supporting data also comes from a comparison with patients already planning to undergo surgery at the time of CMR scanning, which

Results Aortic regurgitant fraction was the best predictor of clinical outcome; area under the curve (AUC) on receiver operating characteristics analysis 0.93 (p