Cost Effectiveness in Low- and Middle-Income Countries

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REVIEW ARTICLE

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Cost Effectiveness in Low- and Middle-Income Countries A Review of the Debates Surrounding Decision Rules Samuel D. Shillcutt,1 Damian G. Walker,1 Catherine A. Goodman2,3 and Anne J. Mills3 1 Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA 2 Kenya Medical Research Institute/Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Nairobi, Kenya 3 Department of Public Health & Policy, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, UK

Contents Abstract. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1. Approaches Used to Define the Ceiling Ratio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.1 League Table Approach – $US150 per Disability-Adjusted Life-Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.2 Twice Per Capita Gross National Income Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3 Preference-Elicitation Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2. Ethical Criteria. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3. Methodological and Policy Implications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4. Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Abstract

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Cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) is increasingly important in public health decision making, including in low- and middle-income countries. The decision makers’ valuation of a unit of health gain, or ceiling ratio (l), is important in CEA as the relative value against which acceptability is defined, although values are usually chosen arbitrarily in practice. Reference case estimates for l are useful to promote consistency, facilitate new developments in decision analysis, compare estimates against benefit-cost ratios from other economic sectors, and explicitly inform decisions about equity in global health budgets. The aim of this article is to discuss values for l used in practice, including derivation based on affordability expectations (such as $US150 per disabilityadjusted life-year [DALY]), some multiple of gross national income or gross domestic product, and preference-elicitation methods, and explore the implications associated with each approach. The background to the debate is introduced, the theoretical bases of current values are reviewed, and examples are given of their application in practice. Advantages and disadvantages of each method for defining l are outlined, followed by an exploration of methodological and policy implications.

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Cost-ef