Economic Cycles in Emerging and Advanced Countries Synchronization,
This book contributes to the debate on the decoupling of emerging economies from the advanced economies with a new, empirical investigation approach. Taking counterfactual experiments performed using a time-varying panel VAR model, the author argues
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Antonio Pesce
Economic Cycles in Emerging and Advanced Countries Synchronization, International Spillovers and the Decoupling Hypothesis
Contributions to Economics
More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/1262
Antonio Pesce
Economic Cycles in Emerging and Advanced Countries Synchronization, International Spillovers and the Decoupling Hypothesis
Antonio Pesce Milan, Italy
ISSN 1431-1933 ISSN 2197-7178 (electronic) Contributions to Economics ISBN 978-3-319-17084-8 ISBN 978-3-319-17085-5 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-17085-5 Library of Congress Control Number: 2015938465 Springer Cham Heidelberg New York Dordrecht London © Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2015 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. Printed on acid-free paper Springer International Publishing AG Switzerland is part of Springer Science+Business Media (www.springer.com)
To my parents and Precious Ann
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Preface
This monograph emerged from 4 years of doctoral studies at the Catholic University of Milan. Many people have helped me in various ways while I was working on the thesis. Greatest thanks are due to Laura Barbieri, my supervisor, for her comments, helpful advice, guidance, and continuous support. I am also grateful to comments and discussions of seminar’s participants and professors at the Catholic University of Milan (IT), in particular Gianluca Femminis, Domenico Delli Gatti, Marco Lossani, Maurizio Motolese, and Lorenzo Cappellari. I would also like to thank professors at International Center of Econometrics (CIdE), summer school “Bayesian Methods in Economics and Finance” Bertinoro (IT), 2012. I also greatly benefited from comments and discussions of participants at Ph.D. Conference “International Development 2013”, University of East Anglia, Norwich (UK), and participants at 53rd Congress of European Regional Science Association (ERSA) at the University of Palermo (IT). On a personal level, I owe gratitude to my rel
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