Elucidation of predictors of disease progression in patients with relapsing polychondritis at the onset: potential impac

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BMC Rheumatology

RESEARCH ARTICLE

Open Access

Elucidation of predictors of disease progression in patients with relapsing polychondritis at the onset: potential impact on patient monitoring Jun Shimizu, Yoshihisa Yamano, Kimito Kawahata and Noboru Suzuki*

Abstract Background: In patients with relapsing polychondritis (RP), organ involvement developed in those with progressive and/or long disease courses. For their management, elucidation of a subgroup suggesting disease progression is awaited. Methods: We previously conducted a physician’s questionnaire-based retrospective study to elucidate major clinical features of Japanese patients with RP. We here evaluated organ involvement at disease onset and at the last followup. We then counted cumulative numbers of involved organs at the last follow-up in 229 RP patients and compared them with involved organ numbers at disease onset, as possible indicators of disease progression. We assigned their prognosis at the last follow-up into “patient prognostic stages” from no medication (stage 1) to death (stage 5). We utilized nonparametric tests for group comparisons. Results: Involved organ numbers per-patient were 1.13 ± 0.03 at disease onset and 3.25 ± 0.10 at the last follow-up (disease duration was 4.69 ± 0.33 years), and increased along with the patient prognostic stages. At disease onset, 135 and 48 patients had auricular involvement (59% of 229 patients, defined as auricular-onset subgroup; AO) and respiratory involvement (21%, respiratory-onset subgroup; RO), respectively. 46 patients presented with other conditions (20%, miscellaneous-onset subgroup; MO) including CNS, ocular, and inner ear involvement, among others. RO patients showed worse (poorer) prognostic stages than AO patients. MO patients developed respiratory and/or auricular involvement thereafter and then showed significantly higher mortality rate (15%; 7/46) than AO patients (5.9%; 8/135). In RP patients who did not develop respiratory involvement until the last follow-up (throughout the disease course; 117 patients), mortality rate was 19% in 26 MO patients and 3.3% in 91 AO patients. Accordingly, RO patients and MO patients associated with relatively poor prognosis compared with AO patients. (Continued on next page)

* Correspondence: [email protected] Department of Immunology and Medicine, and Division of Rheumatology and Allergology, Institute of Medical Science, St. Marianna University School of Medicine, Sugao 2-16-1, Miyamae-ku, Kawasaki 216-8511, Japan © The Author(s). 2020 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to