Hacia el futuro Energy, Economics, and the Environment in 21st Centu

The book focuses on the impact of future energy policies on fossil fuel use, environmental quality, and economic growth in Mexico over the next 20 years. The first part examines the growth of the Mexican energy sector and its link to international trade,

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Preface by Mario Molina, Nobel LaureatE in Chemistry, 1995

HACIA EL FUTURO

ADVANCES IN GLOBAL CHANGE RESEARCH VOLUME 26

Editor-in-Chief Martin Beniston, Department of Geosciences, University of Fribourg, Switzerland

Editorial Advisory Board B. Allen-Diaz, Department ESPM-Ecosystem Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, CA, U.S.A. R.S. Bradley, Department of Geosciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA, U.S.A. W. Cramer, Department of Global Change and Natural Systems, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany. H.F. Diaz, Climate Diagnostics Center, Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, NOAA, Boulder, CO, U.S.A. S. Erkman, Institute for Communication and Analysis of Science and Technology – ICAST, Geneva, Switzerland. R. García Herrera, Facultad de Físicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain M. Lal, Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology, New Delhi, India. U. Luterbacher, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland. I. Noble, CRC for Greenhouse Accounting and Research School of Biological Sciences, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia. L. Tessier, Institut Mediterranéen d’Ecologie et Paléoécologie, Marseille, France. F. Toth, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria. M.M. Verstraete, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, EC Joint Research Centre, Ispra (VA), Italy.

The titles published in this series are listed at the end of this volume.

HACIA EL FUTURO Energy, Economics, and the Environment in 21st Century Mexico

by

Maria Eugenia Ibarrarán Universidad de las Américas - Puebla, Puebla, Mexico

and

Roy Boyd Ohio University, Athens, OH, U.S.A.

Preface by Mario Molina Nobel Laureat in Chemistry, 1995

A C.I.P. Catalogue record for this book is available from the Library of Congress.

ISBN-10 ISBN-13 ISBN-10 ISBN-13

1-4020-4770-3 (HB) 978-1-4020-4770-1 (HB) 1-4020-4771-1 (e-book) 978-1-4020-4771-8 (e-book)

Published by Springer, P.O. Box 17, 3300 AA Dordrecht, The Netherlands.

www.springer.com

Photograph, “Nightime” by Oscar Ruiz

Printed on acid-free paper

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To Karla, Sara, Sharon, Jerónimo and Gustavo

PREFACE The past 25 years have witnessed an increasing worldwide concern over the issue of climate change and the specter of immense environmental and economic damage which would accompany unmitigated global warming trends. National governments in the industrialized world along with numerous multinational organizations have made a strong case for curbing the use of fossil fuels as an energy source, and