Independent predictors affecting the reduction of pediatric supracondylar humerus fractures: a retrospective cohort stud

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ORIGINAL ARTICLE

Independent predictors affecting the reduction of pediatric supracondylar humerus fractures: a retrospective cohort study Seigo Suganuma1   · Kaoru Tada2 · Shingo Takagawa1 · Hidetoshi Yasutake1 · Munetomo Takata1 · Keito Shimanuki1 · Kenji Fujita1 · Hiroyuki Tsuchiya2 Received: 5 July 2020 / Accepted: 1 September 2020 © Springer-Verlag France SAS, part of Springer Nature 2020

Abstract Background  Although it is important to understand the risk factors affecting the reduction of pediatric supracondylar humerus fractures (PSHFs), no inclusive study has been conducted so far. We performed a retrospective cohort study to identify the risk factors affecting the quality and difficulty of reduction for PSHFs. Methods  We reviewed 160 cases with a PSHF that had been surgically treated in our hospital between January 2007 and December 2019. We investigated age, sex, injured side, body mass index (BMI), modified Gartland classification, neurological deficit or an absent radial artery pulse at an initial examination, start time of the operation, waiting time from injury to surgery, operative time, reduction technique, and perioperative radiographic parameters. We calculated independent predictors of unsuccessful closed reduction, prolonged operative time, and malreduction using multivariate analyses. Results  In a logistic regression analysis, modified Gartland type III was a significant predictor of unsuccessful closed reduction (OR 14.50 [95% CI 4.03–51.90]; P