Interaction between Kondratieff Waves and Juglar Cycles

In this chapter the authors describe Juglar cycles, provide a brief history of their study, and then concentrate on aspects of the relationship between the medium-term (7–11 years) Juglar cycles (J-cycles) and long (40–60 years) Kondratieff cycles (K-wave

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Leonid Grinin Andrey Korotayev Arno Tausch

Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery

International Perspectives on Social Policy, Administration, and Practice Series Editors Sheying Chen Pace University, New York, USA Jason L. Powell University of Lancashire, Preston, Lancashire, United Kingdom

The Springer series International Perspectives on Social Policy, Administration and Practice puts the spotlight on international and comparative studies of social policy, administration, and practice with an up-to-date assessment of their character and development. In particular, the series seeks to examine the underlying assumptions of the practice of helping professions, nonprofit organization and management, and public policy and how processes of both nation-state and globalization are affecting them. The series also includes specific country case studies, with valuable comparative analysis across Asian, African, Latin American, and Western welfare states.The series International Perspectives on Social Policy, Administration and Practice commissions approximately six books per year, focusing on international perspectives on social policy, administration, and practice, especially an East-West connection. It assembles an impressive set of researchers from diverse countries illuminating a rich, deep, and broad understanding of the implications of comparative accounts on international social policy, administration, and practice.

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Leonid Grinin • Andrey Korotayev Arno Tausch

Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery With a foreword by William R. Thompson

Leonid Grinin National Research University Higher School of Economics Moscow, Russia

Andrey Korotayev National Research University Higher School of Economics Moscow, Russia

Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow, Russia

Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow, Russia

Arno Tausch Corvinus University Budapest, Hungary

International Perspectives on Social Policy, Administration, and Practice ISBN 978-3-319-41260-3 ISBN 978-3-319-41262-7 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-41262-7 Library of Congress Control Number: 2016944156 © Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2016 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the