Introductory Time Series with R
Yearly global mean temperature and ocean levels, daily share prices, and the signals transmitted back to Earth by the Voyager space craft are all examples of sequential observations over time known as time series. This book gives you a step-by-step introd
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Paul S.P. Cowpertwait · Andrew V. Metcalfe
Introductory Time Series with R
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Paul S.P. Cowpertwait Inst. Information and Mathematical Sciences Massey University Auckland Albany Campus New Zealand [email protected] Series Editors Robert Gentleman Program in Computational Biology Division of Public Health Sciences Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 1100 Fairview Avenue, N. M2-B876 Seattle, Washington 98109 USA
Andrew V. Metcalfe School of Mathematical Sciences University of Adelaide Adelaide SA 5005 Australia [email protected]
Kurt Hornik Department of Statistik and Mathematik Wirtschaftsuniversit¨at Wien Augasse 2-6 A-1090 Wien Austria
Giovanni Parmigiani The Sidney Kimmel Comprehensive Cancer Center at Johns Hopkins University 550 North Broadway Baltimore, MD 21205-2011 USA
ISBN 978-0-387-88697-8 e-ISBN 978-0-387-88698-5 DOI 10.1007/978-0-387-88698-5 Springer Dordrecht Heidelberg London New York Library of Congress Control Number: 2009928496 c Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2009 All rights reserved. This work may not be translated or copied in whole or in part without the written permission of the publisher (Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, 233 Spring Street, New York, NY 10013, USA), except for brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis. Use in connection with any form of information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed is forbidden. The use in this publication of trade names, trademarks, service marks, and similar terms, even if they are not identified as such, is not to be taken as an expression of opinion as to whether or not they are subject to proprietary rights. Printed on acid-free paper Springer is part of Springer Science+Business Media (www.springer.com)
In memory of Ian Cowpertwait
Preface
R has a command line interface that offers considerable advantages over menu systems in terms of efficiency and speed once the commands are known and the language understood. However, the command line system can be daunting for the first-time user, so there is a need for concise texts to enable the student or analyst to make progress with R in their area of study. This book aims to fulfil that need in the area of time series to enable the non-specialist to progress, at a fairly quick pace, to a level where they can confidently apply a range of time series methods to a variety of data sets. The book assumes the reader has a knowledge typical of a first-year university statistics course and is based around lecture notes from a range of time series courses that we have taught over the last twenty years. Some of this material has been delivered to postgraduate finance students during a concentrated six-week course and was well received, so a selection of the material could be mastered in a concentrated course, although in general it would be more suited to bein
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