Local Induction
The local justification of beliefs and hypotheses has recently become a major concern for epistemologists and philosophers of induction. As such, the problem of local justification is not entirely new. Most pragmatists had addressed themselves to it, and
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SYNTHESE LIBRARY MONOGRAPHS ON EPISTEMOLOGY, LOGIC, METHODOLOGY, PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE, SOCIOLOGY OF SCIENCE AND OF KNOWLEDGE, AND ON THE MATHEMATICAL METHODS OF SOCIAL AND BEHA VIORAL SCIENCES
Managing Editor:
J AAKKO
HINTIKKA,
Academy of Finland and Stanford University
Editors: ROBERT S. COHEN,
Boston University
DONALD DAVIDSON, The Rockefeller UniversityandPrinceton GABRIEL NUCHELMANS, WESLEY
University of Leyden
C. SALMON, University of Arizona
VOLUME 93
University
LOCAL INDUCTION Edited by
RADU J. BOGDAN Stanford University
D. REIDEL PUBLISHING COMPANY DORDRECHT-HOLLAND / BOSTON-U .S.A.
Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data Main entry under title: Local induction. (Synthese library ; 93) "A selected bibliography of local induction, by Radu J. Bogdan" : p. Includes indexes. CONTENTS: Levi, I. Acceptance revisited.Rosenkrantz, R. Cognitive decision theory. - Goosens, W. K. A critique of epistemic utilities. [etc.] 1. Induction (Logic)-Addresses, essays, lectures. I. Bogdan, Radu J. BC91.L62 161 75-34922 ISBN 978-94-011-9801-1
ISBN 978-94-011-9799-1 (eBook)
DOl 10.10071978-94-011-9799-1
Published by D. Reidel Publishing Company, P.O. Box 17, Dordrecht, Holland Sold and distributed in the U.S.A., Canada, and Mexico by D. Reidel Publishing Company, Inc. Lincoln Building, 160 Old Derby Street, Hingham, Mass. 02043, U.S.A.
All Rights Reserved Copyright © 1976 by D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht, Holland Softcover reprint of tile hardcover 1st edition 1976 No part of the material protected by this copyright notice may be reproduced or utilized in any form by or any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or by any informational storage and retrieval system, without written permission from the copyright owner
To Catalina
TABLE OF CONTENTS
PREFACE ISAAC LEVI'
~
Acceptance Revisited
ROGER ROSENKRANTZ'
Cognitive Decision Theory
73
A Critique of Epistemic Utilities
93
Induction, Consensus, and Catastrophe
115
WILLIAM K. GOOSENS , KEITH LEHRER'
1
JAMES H. FETZER'
Elements of Induction
KLEMENS SZANIA WSKI ,
and Partial Information
GUNTER MENGES
E. KOFLER /
Cognitive Decisions under
Local and Global Induction
Hume and the Problem of Local Induction
L. JONATHAN COHEN'
171 183
HENRY E. KYBURG, JR.' RADU J. BOGDAN'
On Sequential Inference
145
191 217
A Conspectus of the Neo-Classical Theory
of Induction
235
Inquiries, Problems, and Questions: Remarks on Local Induction 263
ILKKA NIINILUOTO /
HAKAN TORNEBOHM , RAIMO TUOMELA'
On Piecemeal Knowledge-Formation
Confirmation, Explanation, and the Paradoxes 319
of Transitivity RADU J. BOGDAN /
297
A Selected Bibliography of Local Induction
329
INDEX OF NAMES
337
INDEX OF SUBJECTS
339
PREFACE
The local justification of beliefs and hypotheses has recently become a major concern for epistemologists and philosophers of induction. As such, the problem of local justification is not entirely new. Most pragmatists had addressed themselves to it, and so did, to some extent, man