Local Induction

The local justification of beliefs and hypotheses has recently become a major concern for epistemologists and philosophers of induction. As such, the problem of local justification is not entirely new. Most pragmatists had addressed themselves to it, and

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SYNTHESE LIBRARY MONOGRAPHS ON EPISTEMOLOGY, LOGIC, METHODOLOGY, PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE, SOCIOLOGY OF SCIENCE AND OF KNOWLEDGE, AND ON THE MATHEMATICAL METHODS OF SOCIAL AND BEHA VIORAL SCIENCES

Managing Editor:

J AAKKO

HINTIKKA,

Academy of Finland and Stanford University

Editors: ROBERT S. COHEN,

Boston University

DONALD DAVIDSON, The Rockefeller UniversityandPrinceton GABRIEL NUCHELMANS, WESLEY

University of Leyden

C. SALMON, University of Arizona

VOLUME 93

University

LOCAL INDUCTION Edited by

RADU J. BOGDAN Stanford University

D. REIDEL PUBLISHING COMPANY DORDRECHT-HOLLAND / BOSTON-U .S.A.

Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data Main entry under title: Local induction. (Synthese library ; 93) "A selected bibliography of local induction, by Radu J. Bogdan" : p. Includes indexes. CONTENTS: Levi, I. Acceptance revisited.Rosenkrantz, R. Cognitive decision theory. - Goosens, W. K. A critique of epistemic utilities. [etc.] 1. Induction (Logic)-Addresses, essays, lectures. I. Bogdan, Radu J. BC91.L62 161 75-34922 ISBN 978-94-011-9801-1

ISBN 978-94-011-9799-1 (eBook)

DOl 10.10071978-94-011-9799-1

Published by D. Reidel Publishing Company, P.O. Box 17, Dordrecht, Holland Sold and distributed in the U.S.A., Canada, and Mexico by D. Reidel Publishing Company, Inc. Lincoln Building, 160 Old Derby Street, Hingham, Mass. 02043, U.S.A.

All Rights Reserved Copyright © 1976 by D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht, Holland Softcover reprint of tile hardcover 1st edition 1976 No part of the material protected by this copyright notice may be reproduced or utilized in any form by or any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or by any informational storage and retrieval system, without written permission from the copyright owner

To Catalina

TABLE OF CONTENTS

PREFACE ISAAC LEVI'

~

Acceptance Revisited

ROGER ROSENKRANTZ'

Cognitive Decision Theory

73

A Critique of Epistemic Utilities

93

Induction, Consensus, and Catastrophe

115

WILLIAM K. GOOSENS , KEITH LEHRER'

1

JAMES H. FETZER'

Elements of Induction

KLEMENS SZANIA WSKI ,

and Partial Information

GUNTER MENGES

E. KOFLER /

Cognitive Decisions under

Local and Global Induction

Hume and the Problem of Local Induction

L. JONATHAN COHEN'

171 183

HENRY E. KYBURG, JR.' RADU J. BOGDAN'

On Sequential Inference

145

191 217

A Conspectus of the Neo-Classical Theory

of Induction

235

Inquiries, Problems, and Questions: Remarks on Local Induction 263

ILKKA NIINILUOTO /

HAKAN TORNEBOHM , RAIMO TUOMELA'

On Piecemeal Knowledge-Formation

Confirmation, Explanation, and the Paradoxes 319

of Transitivity RADU J. BOGDAN /

297

A Selected Bibliography of Local Induction

329

INDEX OF NAMES

337

INDEX OF SUBJECTS

339

PREFACE

The local justification of beliefs and hypotheses has recently become a major concern for epistemologists and philosophers of induction. As such, the problem of local justification is not entirely new. Most pragmatists had addressed themselves to it, and so did, to some extent, man