Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data
This authored monograph presents the use of dynamic spatiotemporal modeling tools for the identification of complex underlying processes in conflict, such as diffusion, relocation, heterogeneous escalation, and volatility. The authors use ideas from stati
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Andrew Zammit-Mangion Michael Dewar Visakan Kadirkamanathan Anaїd Flesken Guido Sanguinetti
Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data
SpringerBriefs in Applied Sciences and Technology Mathematical Methods
Series Editor A. Marciniak-Czochra, Heidelberg, Germany
For further volumes: http://www.springer.com/series/11219
Andrew Zammit-Mangion Michael Dewar Visakan Kadirkamanathan Anaïd Flesken Guido Sanguinetti •
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Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data
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Anaïd Flesken German Institute of Global and Area Studies Hamburg Germany
Andrew Zammit-Mangion Department of Mathematics School of Geographical Sciences University of Bristol Bristol UK
Guido Sanguinetti School of Informatics University of Edinburgh Edinburgh UK
Michael Dewar R&D Lab New York Times New York, NY USA Visakan Kadirkamanathan Automatic Control and Systems Engineering University of Sheffield Sheffield UK
ISSN 2191-530X ISBN 978-3-319-01037-3 DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-01038-0
ISSN 2191-5318 (electronic) ISBN 978-3-319-01038-0 (eBook)
Springer Cham Heidelberg New York Dordrecht London Library of Congress Control Number: 2013946411 Ó The Author(s) 2013 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. Exempted from this legal reservation are brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis or material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the Copyright Law of the Publisher’s location, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer. Permissions for use may be obtained through RightsLink at the Copyright Clearance Center. Violations are liable to prosecution under the respective Copyright Law. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. While the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication, neither the authors nor the editors nor the publisher can accept any legal responsibility for any errors or omissions that may be made. The publisher makes no warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein. Printed on acid-free paper Springer is part of Springer Science+Business Media (www.springer.com)
Foreword
When Lewis Fry Richardson published his paper on the ‘Mathem
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