Perioperative patient-specific factors-based nomograms predict short-term periprosthetic bone loss after total hip arthr
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(2020) 15:503
RESEARCH ARTICLE
Open Access
Perioperative patient-specific factors-based nomograms predict short-term periprosthetic bone loss after total hip arthroplasty Guangtao Fu1†, Mengyuan Li1†, Yunlian Xue2†, Qingtian Li1, Zhantao Deng1, Yuanchen Ma1* and Qiujian Zheng1*
Abstract Background: Although medical intervention of periprosthetic bone loss in the immediate postoperative period was recommended, not all the patients experienced periprosthetic bone loss after total hip arthroplasty (THA). Prediction tools that enrolled all potential risk factors to calculate an individualized prediction of postoperative periprosthetic bone loss were strongly needed for clinical decision-making. Methods: Data of the patients who underwent primary unilateral cementless THA between April 2015 and October 2017 in our center were retrospectively collected. Candidate variables included demographic data and bone mineral density (BMD) in spine, hip, and periprosthetic regions that measured 1 week after THA. Outcomes of interest included the risk of postoperative periprosthetic bone loss in Gruen zone 1, 7, and total zones in the 1st postoperative year. Nomograms were presented based on multiple logistic regressions via R language. One thousand Bootstraps were used for internal validation. Results: Five hundred sixty-three patients met the inclusion criteria were enrolled, and the final analysis was performed in 427 patients (195 male and 232 female) after the exclusion. The mean BMD of Gruen zone 1, 7, and total were decreased by 4.1%, 6.4%, and 1.7% at the 1st year after THA, respectively. 61.1% of the patients (261/427) experienced bone loss in Gruen zone 1 at the 1st postoperative year, while there were 58.1% (248/427) in Gruen zone 7 and 63.0% (269/427) in Gruen zone total. Bias-corrected C-index for risk of postoperative bone loss in Gruen zone 1, 7, and total zones in the 1st postoperative year were 0.700, 0.785, and 0.696, respectively. The most highly influential factors for the postoperative periprosthetic bone loss were primary diagnosis and BMD in the corresponding Gruen zones at the baseline. (Continued on next page)
* Correspondence: [email protected]; [email protected] † Guangtao Fu, Mengyuan Li and Yunlian Xue contributed equally to this work. 1 Division of Orthopedics, Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, People’s Republic of China Full list of author information is available at the end of the article © The Author(s). 2020 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the mate
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