Prospects for the Development of Global Satellite Communication Constellations in the Context of New Services in the Tel

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rospects for the Development of Global Satellite Communication Constellations in the Context of New Services in the Telecommunications Market A. A. Kharlana, *, Sh. N. Biktimirova, and A. B. Ivanova aSkolkovo

Institute of Science and Technologies, Moscow, Russia *e-mail: [email protected]

Received November 13, 2019; revised February 17, 2020; accepted March 5, 2020

Abstract—A technique for assessing the market of advanced global telecommunication networks, including the space segment, as global coverage communication megaconstellations is considered. According to our results, the worldwide traffic consumption by 5G mobile devices by 2022 will be almost 8.5 EB/month. The possible cost of deploying a megaconstellation of communications to provide broadband Internet access at any place in the world can range from $5 to $50 billion, depending on service requirements. We have shown that modern and prospective space communications constellations can be integrated into a new-generation global telecommunication infrastructure. Deployment of a constellation of 600 or more devices with a cost of almost $10 billion can provide traffic transit from base stations in remote areas delivering the population with broadband Internet through 5G networks. DOI: 10.1134/S0010952520050044

INTRODUCTION 5G (fifth-generation technology for wireless communication) aims to significantly expand the capabilities of ground-based wireless networks. The introduction of fifth-generation technologies will make it possible to improve the quality of telemedicine and unmanned vehicles as well as to implement the concepts of “smart cities,” the “Internet of Things” (IoT), and decentralized (P2P) communication based on VR (IEEE 5G and Beyond Technology Roadmap White Paper (https://5g.ieee.org/images/ files/pdf/ieee-5g-roadmap-white-paper.pdf; accessed September 2, 2019). There has been a recently growing interest in the development of new-generation global telecommunication satellite networks [2, 4]. As of 2019, corresponding space tools and technologies have been partially tested in orbit (the Starlink Mission launched by SpaceX: https://www.spacex.com/news/2019/05/24/ starlink-mission, accessed September 10, 2019). Although these networks are not designed for operating with existing commercial telecommunication networks and their subscribers are required to utilize special equipment for connection, the specifications announced by developers of global space solutions are comparable to the evolving standards of 5G mobile networks. At first glance, it seems that the use of a “space” solution is patently uncompetitive in comparison with ground-based networks due to the high cost of space infrastructure; however, a closer look indi-

cates that space solutions are free of disadvantages of terrestrial networks, such as the high cost of optical lines in remote areas and an increased delay in the package transmission through several ground-based hubs. Some studies even now describe possible scenarios for using the space segment in the global 5G a