Ranking provincial power generation sources of China: a decision-maker preferences based integrated multi-criteria frame
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RESEARCH ARTICLE
Ranking provincial power generation sources of China: a decision-maker preferences based integrated multi-criteria framework Shiwei Yu 1,2
&
Yali Zheng 1,2 & Longxi Li 1,2 & Kaiming Wang 1,2
Received: 19 March 2020 / Accepted: 4 June 2020 # Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2020
Abstract The ranking of power generation sources is a very important prerequisite for power generation installation planning and power supply security. This study proposed a new multi-criteria system for ranking regional power generation sources in one country, including resources, economy, technology, environment, and society, using 11 sub-criteria. Based on the system, a novel decision-maker (DMs) preference-based integrated MCDM framework involving four methods (Visekriterijumsko Kompromisno Rangiranje (VIKOR), Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS), Preference Ranking Organization Method for Enrichment Evaluations (PROMETHEE), and Weighted Sum Method (WSM)) was developed for ranking six power generation sources (thermal, nuclear, wind, hydro, solar PV, and biomass) at the level of China’s 30 provinces. Six different preferences of DMs are considered in the ranking according to five criteria. The results show that wind should be the power generation source given the top priority in most provinces in China whereas nuclear power and thermal power are the last choice for 26 provinces. Biomass is the most preferable power source for 17 provinces based on technological preference in which DMs regard the technology criteria is prior to all other criteria. Thermal power would still the preferred or secondary power source for provinces rich in coal resources such as Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, Henan, and Shaanxi. Keywords Power generationsources . Ranking . Multi-criteria decisionmaking . China’s province . Decision-maker preferences . Renewable energy
Introduction Electricity, which is a secondary energy source, is produced by converting fossil fuels and renewable energy sources. In 2017, global electricity was largely generated from fossil fuels, accounting for 74% of total generation from nonrenewable primary energy sources, namely coal, oil, and natural gas. While the remaining electricity output sources, such as solar, hydropower, wind power, biomass, and nuclear, contributed Responsible Editor: Philippe Garrigues * Shiwei Yu [email protected]; [email protected] 1
Center for Energy Environmental Management and Decision-making, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
2
School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
25.7% to global electricity generation (BP 2018). Exclusive reliance on a particular power generation source is not possible if better options become available. It is natural to shift between energy sources due to the increasing energy demand triggered by population expansion and economic growth, the availability of resources, technical feasibility, and pressures on the ecosystems and societies (Streimik
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