Soft Computing for Risk Evaluation and Management Applications in Te

Risk is a crucial element in virtually all problems people in diverse areas face in their activities. It is impossible to find adequate models and solutions without taking it into account. Due to uncertainty and complexity in those problems, traditional "

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Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing Editor-in-chief Prof. Janusz Kacprzyk Systems Research Institute Polish Academy of Sciences ul. Newelska 6 01-447 Warsaw, Poland E-mail: [email protected] http://www.springer.de/cgi-binlsearch_book.pl ?series =2941

Further volumes of this series can be found at our homepage. Vol. 55. J.N. Mordeson, D.S. Malik and S.-c. Cheng Fuzzy Mathematics in Medicine. 2000 ISBN 3-7908-1325-7 Vol. 56. L. Polkowski, S. Tsumoto and T. Y. Lin (Eds.) Rough Set Methods and Applications. 2000 ISBN 3-7908-1328-1 Vol. 57. V. Novak and L Perfilieva (Eds.) Discovering the World with Fuzzy Logic. 2001 ISBN 3-7908-1330-3 Vol. 58. D. S. Malik and 1. N. Mordeson Fuzzy Discrete Structures. 2000 ISBN 3-7908-1335-4 Vol. 59. T. Furuhashi, S. Tano and H.-A. Jacobsen (Eds.) Deep Fusion of Computational and Symbolic Processing. 2001 ISBN 3-7908-1339-7

Vol. 65. E. Orlowska and A. Szalas (Eds.) Relational Methods for Computer Science Applications. 2001 ISBN 3-7908-1365-6 Vol. 66. R.1. Howlett and L. C. Jain (Eds.) Radial Basis Function Networks 1. 2001 ISBN 3-7908-1367-2 Vol. 67. R.1. Howlett and L.c. Jain (Eds.) Radial Basis Function Networks 2. 2001 ISBN 3-7908-1368-0 Vol. 68. A. Kandel. M. Last and H. Bunke (Eds.) Data Mining and Computational Intelligence. 2001 ISBN 3-7908-1371-0 Vol. 69. A. Piegat Fuzzy Modeling and Control. 200] ISBN 3-7908-1385-0 Vol. 70. W. Pedrycz (Ed.) Granular Computing. 2001 ISBN 3-7908-1387-7

Vol. 60. K.J. Cios (Ed.) Medical Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery. 2001 ISBN 3-7908-1340-0

Vol. 71. K. Leiviska (Ed.) Industrial Applications of Soft Computing. 2001 ISBN 3-7908-1388-5

Vol. 61. D. Driankov and A. Saffiotti (Eds.) Fuzzy Logic Techniques for Autonomous Vehicle Navigation. 2001 ISBN 3-7908-1341-9

Vol. 72. M. Mares Fuzzy Cooperative Games. 2001 ISBN 3-7908-1392-3

Vol. 62. N. Baba and L. C. Jain (Eds.) Computational Intelligence in Games. 2001 ISBN 3-7908-1348-6

Vol. 73. Y. Yoshida (Ed.) Dynamical Aspects in Fuzzy Decision, 200] ISBN 3-7908-1397-4

Vol. 63. O. CastiUo and P. Melin Soft Computing for Control of Non-Linear Dynamical Systems, 2001 ISBN 3-7908-1349-4 Vol. 64. L Nishizaki and M. Sakawa Fuzzy and Multiobjective Games for Conflict Resolution. 2001 ISBN 3-7908-1341-9

Vol. 74. H.-N. Teodorescu, L.c. Jam and A. Kandel (Eds.) Hardware Implementation of Intelligent Systems, 2001 ISBN 3-7908-1399-0 Vol. 75. V. Loia and S. Sessa (Eds.) Soft Computing Agents, 2001 ISBN 3-7908-1404-0

Da Ruan . Janusz Kacprzyk Mario Fedrizzi Editors

Soft Computing for Risk Evaluation and Management Applications in Technology, Environment and Finance With 155 Figures and 55 Tables

Physica-Verlag A Springer-Verlag Company

Dr. Da Ruan Belgian Nuclear Research Centre Boeretang 200 2400 Mol Belgium [email protected] Professor Janusz Kacprzyk Polish Academy of Sciences Systems Research Institute ul. Newelska 6 01-447 Warsaw Poland [email protected] Professor Mario Fedrizzi Universita degli Studi di Trento Dipartimento di Informatica e Studi Aziendali Via Inama 5-7 38100 Trento I