Spot Pricing of Electricity

There is a need for fundamental changes in the ways society views electric energy. Electric energy must be treated as a commodity which can be bought, sold, and traded, taking into account its time-and space-varying values and costs. This book presents a

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THE KLUWER INTERNATIONAL SERIES IN ENGINEERING AND COMPUTER SCIENCE

POWER ELECTRONICS & POWER SYSTEMS

Consulting Editor

THOMAS A. LlPO University of Wisconsin

~

Madison

SPOT PRICING OF ELECTRICITY by

FRED C. SCHWEPPE

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

MICHAEL C. CARAMANIS Boston University

RICHARD D. TABORS

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

ROGER E. BOHN

Harvard Business School

KLUWER ACADEMIC PUBLISHERS BOSTONjDORDRECHTjLONDON

Distributors for North America: Kluwer Academic Publishers 101 Philip Drive Assinippi Park Norwell, Massachusetts 02061, USA Distributors for the UK and Ireland: Kluwer Academic Publishers Falcon House, Queen Square Lancaster LAI IRN, UNITED KINGDOM Distributors for all other eountries: Kluwer Academic Publishers Distribution Centre Post Office Box 322 3300 AH Dordrecht, THE NETHERLANDS

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Spot pricing of electricity/by Fred C. Schweppe ... let al.]. p. em. - (The Kluwer international series in engineering and computer science. Power electronics and power systems) Includes index ISBN-13: 978-1-4612-8950-0

e-ISBN-13: 978-1-4613-1683-1

001: 10.1007/978-1-4613-1683-1

I. Electric utilities-Rates. 2. Commodity exchanges. I. Schweppe, Fred c., 1933II. Series. HG6047.E43S66 1987 338.4'336362 - dc 19

87-36643 CIP

Copyright 1988 by Kluwer Academic Publishers. Fourth Printing 2000. Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2000 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher, Kluwer Academic Publishers, 101 Philip Drive, Assinippi Park, Norwell, Massachusetts 02061

DEDICATION To Mary Alice Sanderson, long live the sponge; and to our children, Carl, Christina, Constantine, Daniel, David, Edmund, Fritz (Charles), Kristen, and Malaika. Shortly before completion of this book Fred C. Schweppe, our friend, colleague and senior author died suddenly. Fred created spot pricing and proved, again, that "The forecast is always wrong!"

T ABLE OF CONTENTS

xvii

Preface

3

Overview 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6

Goal of Book Three Steps to an Energy Marketplace How Will Customers Respond? Energy Marketplace Operation: A Developed Country Energy Marketplace Operation: A Developing Country Discussion of Chapter I Supplement to Chapter I: Summary of Issues Historical Notes and References: Chapter I Notes

3 9 II 15 19 19

20 26 27

PART I: THE ENERGY MARKETPLACE

29

Preface to Part I: The Energy Marketplace

29

2

Behavior of Hourly Spot Prices

31

2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9

Defini tion of Hourly Spot Price Components of Hourly Spot Prices Operating Cost Components Quality of Supply Components Aggregated Network Revenue Reconciliation Components Buy-Back Rates Expected Price Trajectories Price Duration Curves

32 34

vii

35

38 41 42 44 45 47

viii Contents

2.10 Customer Response 2. II Discusion of Chapter 2 Historical Notes a