State and Local Population Projections Methodology and Analysis
The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics
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The Plenum Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis Series Editor: Kenneth C. Land, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina
ADVANCED TECHNIQUES OF POPULATION ANALYSIS Shiva S. Halli and K. Vaninadhu Rao ANALYTICAL THEORY OF BIOLOGICAL POPULATIONS Alfred J. Lotka CONTINUITIES IN SOCIOLOGICAL HUMAN ECOLOGY Edited by Michael Micklin and Dudley L. Poston, Jr. CURBING POPULATION GROWTH: An Insider’s Perspective on the Population Movement Oscar Harkavy THE DEMOGRAPHY OF HEALTH AND HEALTH CARE Second Edition Louis G. Pol and Richard K. Thomas FORMAL DEMOGRAPHY David P. Smith HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION IN LATIN AMERICA Susan M. De Vos HOUSEHOLD DEMOGRAPHY AND HOUSEHOLD MODELING Edited by Evert van Imhoff, Anton Kuijsten, Pieter Hooimeijer, and Leo J. G. van Wissen MODELING MULTIGROUP POPULATIONS Robert Schoen POPULATION ISSUES: An Interdisciplinary Focus Edited by Leo J. G. van Wissen and Pearl L. Dykstra THE POPULATION OF MODERN CHINA Edited by Dudley L. Poston, Jr., and David Yaukey A PRIMER OF POPULATION DYNAMICS Krishnan Namboodiri STATE AND LOCAL POPULATION PROJECTIONS: Methodology and Analysis Stanley K. Smith, Jeff Tayman, and David A. Swanson
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State and Local Population Projections Methodology and Analysis Stanley K. Smith University of Florida Gainesville, Florida
Jeff Tayman San Diego Association of Governments San Diego, California
and
David A. Swanson Helsinki School of Economics and Business Administration Mikkeli, Finland
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Preface The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population Association of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics, we began talking about our current research projects. It so happened that all three of us had been entertaining the notion of writing a book on state and local population projections. Recognizing the enormity of the project for a single author, we quickly decided to collaborate. Had we not decided to work together, it is unlikely that this book ever would have been written. The last comprehensive treatment of state and local population projections was Don Pittenger’s excellent work Projecting State and Local Populations (1976).
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