Statistics and Probability Theory In Pursuit of Engineering Decision
This book provides the reader with the basic skills and tools of statistics and probability in the context of engineering modeling and analysis. The emphasis is on the application and the reasoning behind the application of these skills and tools for
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TOPICS IN SAFETY, RISK, RELIABILITY AND QUALITY Volume 18
Editor Adrian V. Gheorghe Old Dominion University, Norfolk, Virginia, U.S.A. Editorial Advisory Board P. Sander, Technical University of Eindhoven, The Netherlands D.C. Barrie, Lakehead University, Ontario, Canada R. Leitch, Royal Military College of Science (Cranfield), Shriverham, U.K. Aims and Scope. Fundamental questions which are being asked these days of all products, processes and services with ever increasing frequency are: What is the risk? How safe is it? How reliable is it? How good is the quality? How much does it cost? This is particularly true as the government, industry, public, customers and society become increasingly informed and articulate. In practice none of the three topics can be considered in isolation as they all interact and interrelate in very complex and subtle ways and require a range of disciplines for their description and application; they encompass the social, engineering and physical sciences and quantitative disciplines including mathematics, probability theory and statistics. The major objective of the series is to provide series of authoritative texts suitable for academic taught courses, reference purposes, postgraduate and other research and practitioners generally working or strongly associated with areas such as: Safety Assessment and Management Emergency Planning Risk Management Reliability Analysis and Assessment Vulnerability Assessment and Management Quality Assurance and Management Special emphasis is placed on texts with regard to readability, relevance, clarity, applicability, rigour and generally sound quantitative content.
For further volumes: www.springer.com/series/6653
Michael Havbro Faber
Statistics and Probability Theory In Pursuit of Engineering Decision Support
Michael Havbro Faber Civil Engineering dept. DTU – Danish Technical University Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark
Additional material to this book can be downloaded from http://extras.springer.com. ISSN 1566-0443 Topics in Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality ISBN 978-94-007-4055-6 e-ISBN 978-94-007-4056-3 DOI 10.1007/978-94-007-4056-3 Springer Dordrecht Heidelberg London New York Library of Congress Control Number: 2012934670 © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012 No part of this work may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, microfilming, recording or otherwise, without written permission from the Publisher, with the exception of any material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Printed on acid-free paper Springer is part of Springer Science+Business Media (www.springer.com)
This book is dedicated to the ones I love
Preface
Decisions in general—good ones and bad ones—shape our world and direct our lives. The success of the world society at local and global scale depends on its ability to make the right decisions. Engineers in particular, play an impor
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