Subjective Risk Judgement
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Dirk Proske
Catalogue of Risks Natural, Technical, Social and Health Risks
Dr.-Ing Dirk Proske, MSc. University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences, Vienna Institute of Mountain Risk Engineering Peter-Jordan-Street 82 1190 Vienna Austria Goetheallee 35 01309 Dresden Germany [email protected]
ISBN: 978-3-540-79554-4
e-ISBN: 978-3-540-79555-1
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-540-79555-1 Library of Congress Control Number: 2008930227 c 2008 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilm or in any other way, and storage in data banks. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the German Copyright Law of September 9, 1965, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer. Violations are liable to prosecution under the German Copyright Law. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. Typesetting: by the author and Integra, India Cover design: eStudio Calamar, Spain Printed on acid-free paper 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 springer.com
Preface
Since the German edition of this book, the topic of risk has experienced even greater attention, not only in the world of science but also in other fields, such as economics and politics. Therefore, many new publications have evolved. To keep with the idea of an encyclopedia for the topic of risk, this book has been completely reworked. Not only are many updated examples included in chapter “Risks and disasters” but also new chapters have been introduced, such as the chapter “Indetermination and risk”. This new chapter was developed since the question “Is it possible for risks to be completely eliminated, and if not why?” has become a major point of concern. Therefore, especially in this chapter, the focus of the book has extended from a simple mathematical or engineering point of view to include much broader concepts. Here, not only aspects of system theory have to be considered, but also some general philosophical questions start to influence the considerations of the topic of risk. The main goal of this edition, however, is not only the extension and revision of the book, but also the translation into the English language to allow more readers access to the ideas of the book. The author deeply hopes that the success the book made in the German edition continues and that readers experience a major gain from reading the book.
Expression of Thanks
Humans who dedicate their entire working life to one topic might reach a deep intellectual penetration of the topic. The obtained understanding of the topic can be reflected in an extremely clear exposition
