Systematic Analysis and Prediction of Air Quality Index in Delhi
Pollution refers to the adulteration of the atmosphere with substances that intervene with the nature and hence affects the health of humans in some cases critically. Off late, the quality of air in urban places has been found unfavorable and Delhi is no
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Abstract Pollution refers to the adulteration of the atmosphere with substances that intervene with the nature and hence affects the health of humans in some cases critically. Off late, the quality of air in urban places has been found unfavorable and Delhi is no exception for this. The National Air Quality Standards have stressed that the main pollutants are particulate matter (PM). A thorough analysis of past years of quality of air in Delhi-NCR has been done by us for certain areas, and broadly, the analysis results of air quality data have revealed that the Air Quality Index (AQI) was high during the winters, low during the monsoons and average during summers. This analysis has been done for identifying the variations in the air quality and their effects on human health. We have further applied this data to an algorithm to predict the future air quality results with great accuracy so that in future the predicted data can be used for taking measures to control air pollution and prevent the hazards resulting from the same. This paper has considered the air quality data for the three most polluted areas of Delhi, i.e. ITO, Anand Vihar and Jahangirpuri at Delhi. If we can predict the future air quality in a given area, then the major issues of air pollution can be curtailed beforehand so that the critical health-related issues can be prevented. Keywords Pollution · Prediction · Air quality index analysis · Holt–Winter algorithm · Air quality index prediction
K. Bhalla (B) · A. Gosain Guru Gobind Singh Indraprastha University, New Delhi, India e-mail: [email protected] A. Gosain e-mail: [email protected] S. Srivastava University of Delhi, New Delhi, India e-mail: [email protected] © Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2021 D. Gupta et al. (eds.), International Conference on Innovative Computing and Communications, Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing 1165, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-5113-0_1
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1 Introduction One of the major concerns of air pollution is its effects on the health of human beings. Various studies have been carried out that have concluded that particulate matter is the major source of toxic element in the air that causes air pollution, and the result of which has led to various cardiovascular diseases, pulmonary diseases and even death [1]. The United Nations (UN) Environment Programme has estimated that around 1.1 billion people around the world breathe the air that is unhealthy [2]. The World Health Organization (WHO) has estimated that urban air pollution is responsible for approximately 800,000 deaths and 4.6 million deaths each year out of which 88% is of premature deaths [3]. The main concern is that out of this estimation twothird of the deaths have occurred in Asia. This is majorly due to the urbanization, industrialization, socioeconomic development and population growth in Asia [4]. India is one such country that has shown increase in the above factors. But the growth has led to the adverse effects as well in the form of pollut
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