Term Structure Modeling and Estimation in a State Space Framework
This book has been prepared during my work as a research assistant at the Institute for Statistics and Econometrics of the Economics Department at the University of Bielefeld, Germany. It was accepted as a Ph.D. thesis titled "Term Structure Modeling and
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Wolfgang Lemke
Term Structure Modeling and Estimation in a State Space Framework
Springer
Author Wolfgang Lemke Deutsche Bundesbank Zentralbereich Volkswirtschaft/Economics Department Wilhelm-Epstein-StraBe 14 D-60431 Frankfurt am Main E-mail: [email protected]
ISSN 0075-8442 ISBN-10 3-540-28342-0 Springer Berlin Heidelberg New York ISBN-13 978-3-540-28342-3 Springer Berlin Heidelberg New York This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, re-use of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other way, and storage in data banks. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the German Copyright Law of September 9,1965, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer-Verlag. Violations are liable for prosecution under the German Copyright Law. Springer is a part of Springer Science+Business Media springeronline.com © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2006 Printed in Germany The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. Typesetting: Camera ready by author Cover design: Erich Kirchner, Heidelberg Printed on acid-free paper
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Preface
This book has been prepared during my work as a research assistant at the Institute for Statistics and Econometrics of the Economics Department at the University of Bielefeld, Germany. It was accepted as a Ph.D. thesis titled "Term Structure Modeling and Estimation in a State Space Framework" at the Department of Economics of the University of Bielefeld in November 2004. It is a pleasure for me to thank all those people who have been helpful in one way or another during the completion of this work. First of all, I would like to express my gratitude to my advisor Professor Joachim Frohn, not only for his guidance and advice throughout the completion of my thesis but also for letting me have four very enjoyable years teaching and researching at the Institute for Statistics and Econometrics. I am also grateful to my second advisor Professor Willi Semmler. The project I worked on in one of his seminars in 1999 can really be seen as a starting point for my research on state space models. I thank Professor Thomas Braun for joining the committee for my oral examination. Many thanks go to my dear colleagues Dr. Andreas Handl and Dr. Pu Chen for fruitful and encouraging discussions and for providing a very pleasant working environment in the time I collaborated with them. I am also grateful to my friends Dr. Christoph Woster and Dr. Andreas Szczutkowski for many valuable comments on the theoretical part of my thesis and for sharing their knowledge in finance and economic theory with me. Thanks to Steven
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