Theory and Implementation of Economic Models for Sustainable Development

There is widespread concern for long-term environmental issues in relation to economic processes and developments. Among the concerned scientists are economists, who have taken up the challenge to apply economic insights and tools for the study of long-te

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Economy & Environment VOLUME 15

Scientific Advisory Board Scott Barrett, London Business School, London, United Kingdom Klaus Conrad, University o/Mannheim, Mannheim, Germany David James, Ecoservices Pty. Ltd., Whale Beach, New South Wales, Australia Bengt J. Kristrom, University 0/ Umea, Sweden Raymond Prince, Congressional Budget Office, U.S. Congress, Washington DC, U.S.A. Domenico Siniscalco, ENI-Enrico Mattei, Milano, Italy I University o/Torino, Italy

The titles published in this series are listed at the end ofthis volume.

Theory and Implementation of Economic Models for Sustainable Development Edited by

Jeroen C.J.M. van den Bergh Department of Spatial Economics Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, The Netherlands

and

Marjan W. Hofkes Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM) Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, The Netherlands

SPRINGER-SCIENCE+BUSINESS MEDIA, B.V.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data is available.

ISBN 978-90-481-5014-4 ISBN 978-94-017-3511-7 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-94-017-3511-7

Printed on acid-free paper

All rights reserved

© 1998 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht Originally published by Kluwer Academic Publishers in 1998 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 1998 No part of the material protected by this copyright notice may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or by any information storage and retrieval system, without prior permission from the copyright owners.

Contents

vii

Preface Acknowledgements 1.

Vlll

Sustainable Development and Formal Models: background and summary Jeroen C1M van den Bergh and Marjan W Hojkes

Part I: Theoretical Approaches 2. 3. 4. 5.

A Survey of Economic Modelling of Sustainable Development Jeroen C1M van den Bergh and Marjan W Hojkes Technological Change, Economic Growth and Sustainability Sjak Smulders Evolutionary Complex Systems and Sustainable Development Peter M. Allen Theoretical Aspects of the Economic Modelling of Sustainable Development Cees Withagen

II

39 67

10 I

Part II: Empirical Testing and Delinking 6. 7. 8.

Indicators of Natural Resource Scarcity: review, synthesis, and application to US agriculture Cutler 1 Cleveland and David I Stern The Environmental Kuznets Curve Alberto Ansuategi, Edward Barbier and Charles Perrings Delinking, Relinking and the Perception of Resource Scarcity Hans Opschoor

113 139

165

Part III: Measurement and Implementation 9.

The Measurement of Sustainable Development David Pearce, Giles Atkinson and Kirk Hamilton v

175

vi 10. 11. 12. 13.

Industrial Metabolism: work in progress Robert U Ayres On the Paradigmatic and Spatial Dependency of Indicators llar~en Jlerbruggen Macroeconomic Modelling for Sustainable Development: the Dutch experience Frank A. G. den Butter Multidimensional Sustainability Analysis: the Flag model Peter Nijka~p and llans Ouwersloot

195 229 235 255

Part IV: Policy and the International Dimension 14. 15.

16.

Economic Aspects of Global Environmental Models Richard S.l Tol