Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis in Archaeological Computational Modeling
This volume deals with the pressing issue of uncertainty in archaeological modeling. Detecting where and when uncertainty is introduced to the modeling process is critical, as are strategies for minimizing, reconciling, or accommodating such uncertainty.
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Marieka Brouwer Burg Hans Peeters William A. Lovis Editors
Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis in Archaeological Computational Modeling
Interdisciplinary Contributions to Archaeology Series editor Jelmer Eerkens University of California, Davis Davis, CA, USA
More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/6090
Marieka Brouwer Burg Hans Peeters • William A. Lovis Editors
Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis in Archaeological Computational Modeling
Editors Marieka Brouwer Burg Department of Anthropology University of New Hampshire Durham, NH, USA
Hans Peeters Groningen Institute of Archaeology University of Groningen Groningen, The Netherlands
William A. Lovis Department of Anthropology and MSU Museum Michigan State University East Lansing, MI, USA
ISSN 1568-2722 Interdisciplinary Contributions to Archaeology ISBN 978-3-319-27831-5 ISBN 978-3-319-27833-9 DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-27833-9
(eBook)
Library of Congress Control Number: 2016935511 © Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2016 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. Printed on acid-free paper This Springer imprint is published by Springer Nature The registered company is Springer International Publishing AG Switzerland
Preface
This book had its origin in what seemed at the time to be a straightforward question: Have you done a sensitivity analysis? Posed by a geologist, this question was directed at an archaeological dissertation involving simulation modeling of huntergatherers in Post-Glacial landscapes, a dissertation that was scheduled for defense in just over a month. While not intended to create a fuss, the question was met with equal parts surprise (what exactly constitutes a sensitivity analysis?), trepidation (could a sensitivity analysis be conducted for a complex archaeological scenario?), and worry (could it be done in time?). All of these sentiments were borne out as the lead editor of the present volume began investigating what it would take to devise, imple
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