14th International Probabilistic Workshop
This book presents the proceedings of the 14th International Probabilistic Workshop that was held in Ghent, Belgium in December 2016. Probabilistic methods are currently of crucial importance for research and developments in the field of engineering, whic
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h International Probabilistic Workshop
14th International Probabilistic Workshop
Robby Caspeele ⋅ Luc Taerwe ⋅ Dirk Proske Editors
14th International Probabilistic Workshop
123
Editors Robby Caspeele Department of Structural Engineering Ghent University Ghent Belgium
Dirk Proske Axpo Power AG Döttingen Switzerland
Luc Taerwe Department of Structural Engineering Ghent University Ghent Belgium
ISBN 978-3-319-47885-2 DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-47886-9
ISBN 978-3-319-47886-9
(eBook)
Library of Congress Control Number: 2016958463 © Springer International Publishing AG 2017 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. Printed on acid-free paper This Springer imprint is published by Springer Nature The registered company is Springer International Publishing AG The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland
Preface
Probabilistic methods are currently of crucial importance for research and developments in the field of engineering, which is challenged by new materials and technologies and rapidly changing societal needs and values. Hence, the societal importance of risk and safety has significantly increased in the last decades. Contemporary needs related to, for example, performance-based design, service-life design, life cycle analysis, product optimization, assessment of existing structures, structural robustness, etc., still give rise to new developments in order to establish accurate and practically applicable probabilistic and statistical engineering methods to support these developments. In 2003, a series of annual symposia or workshops has been established to provide a multidisciplinary forum for the exchange of knowledge and expertise in probabilistic methods, uncertainty quantification, safety and risk management, focusing on theory as well as practice and stimulating discussions on developments, and needs in this fascinating field of expertise. Originally, the series started as the 1st and 2nd Dresdner Probabilistic Symposium in 2003 and
