A statistical study for impacts of environmental conditions on the rapid spread of new corona virus
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ORIGINAL PAPER
A statistical study for impacts of environmental conditions on the rapid spread of new corona virus A. T. Ahmed1,2 · A. S. Ghanem3 Received: 9 June 2020 / Revised: 27 June 2020 / Accepted: 16 July 2020 © Islamic Azad University (IAU) 2020
Abstract The new coronavirus, COVID-19, spread quickly and causes the death for thousands of people, and a major freeze for the economy and people activities worldwide. This study made statistical analysis for the influences of the environmental conditions such as temperature, humidity, precipitation, wind, and air pollution, which may aid in spreading this virus very fast. The study also investigated statistically the impact of people customs such as smoking, drinking wine, and eating pig meat on the number of deaths among infected people. The study depicted reasons for spreading it in some places much more than others over the world. A statistical software SPSS was adopted to find a correlation among the different variables affecting the virus spread. The results exhibited a significant relationship between the suggested conditions and the virus spread. The study introduced two regression equations for expecting infected people and deaths based on the examined conditions for any region. Keywords Environmental conditions · People customs · Corona virus · Infection spread
Introduction Recently, a new corona virus called COVID-19 spread everywhere and produced a big mess around the world as thousands of people died and many economic activities were stopped. Certainly, many reasons help in increasing the number of infected people and deaths. These reasons include a variety of climatological aspects occurred at times of virus infection such as temperature, humidity, precipitation, and wind as well as environmental issues such as air pollution. In addition, some customs for people may influence the virus spread and number of deaths. Pica and Bouvier (2012) reviewed the impacts of some environmental and nonenvironmental conditions on respiratory virus Editorial responsibility: Samareh Mirkia. * A. T. Ahmed [email protected] 1
Environmental and Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Aswan University, Aswan, Egypt
2
Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Islamic University, Medina, Saudi Arabia
3
Tropical Medicine Department, Dairout Hospital, Assuit, Egypt
spread. They concluded that the climatological factors may play significant roles in some geographic regions more than others. Nonenvironmental impacts, including family, social structures, and preexisting immunity could also be playing a role in the rate of the respiratory virus spread. They added that even with great investigation done for the impacts of these environmental factors, remain many inconsistencies and uncertainties in these impacts. Temperature is very important and significant climate factors in spreading the viruses. Specially for respiratory virus groups such as influenzas and similar viruses, they are very active in a range of temperature between 5 and 20 °C. Consequentl
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