A Violent World Modern Threats to Economic Stability
During the 1990s Francis Fukuyama announced the end of history. The 2000s showed how it is an illusion to imagine a peaceful world without conflict. In this book the authors explore how six major constraints are set to fix the trajectory of the global eco
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A Violent World Modern Threats to Economic Stability Jean-Hervé Lorenzi Professor of Economics, Paris-Dauphine University and President, Le Cercle des Economiste, France
Mickaël Berrebi Actuary, France
Translated by Josephine Bacon Foreword by Anthony Giddens
© Jean-Hervé Lorenzi and Mickaël Berrebi 2016 Foreword © Anthony Giddens 2016 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2016 978-1-137-58992-7 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No portion of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, Saffron House, 6–10 Kirby Street, London EC1N 8TS. Any person who does any unauthorized act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. The authors have asserted their rights to be identified as the authors of this work in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. Originally published in French 2014 as Un Monde de Violences: L’économie mondiale 2015–2030, by Groupe Eyrolles, ISBN: 978–2–212–56001–5 (www.editions-eyrolles.com) This edition first published 2016 by PALGRAVE MACMILLAN Palgrave Macmillan in the UK is an imprint of Macmillan Publishers Limited, registered in England, company number 785998, of Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS. Palgrave Macmillan in the US is a division of St Martin’s Press LLC, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10010. Palgrave Macmillan is the global academic imprint of the above companies and has companies and representatives throughout the world. Palgrave® and Macmillan® are registered trademarks in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe and other countries. ISBN 978-1-349-88782-8 ISBN 978-1-137-58993-4 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-137-58993-4 This book is printed on paper suitable for recycling and made from fully managed and sustained forest sources. Logging, pulping and manufacturing processes are expected to conform to the environmental regulations of the country of origin. A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Names: Lorenzi, Jean-Hervé, author. | Berrebi, Mickaël, author. Title: A violent world : modern threats to economic stability / Jean-Hervé Lorenzi, Executive Board Member, Compagnie Financière Edmond de Rothschild, France, Mickaël Berrebi, Actuary, France. Other titles: Monde de violences. English Description: New York : Palgrave Macmillan, 2016. | Includes index. Identifiers: LCCN 2015035441 Subjects: LCSH: Economic forecasting. | Economic history – 1990– | International economic relations. | International finance. | Economic history – 21st century – Forecasting. | BISAC: BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Economic Conditions. | BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Economic History. | BUSIN
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