Climate Change and Food Security Adapting Agriculture to a Warmer Wo
Roughly a billion people around the world continue to live in state of chronic hunger and food insecurity. Unfortunately, efforts to improve their livelihoods must now unfold in the context of a rapidly changing climate, in which warming temperatures and
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ADVANCES IN GLOBAL CHANGE RESEARCH VOLUME 37
Editor-in-Chief Martin Beniston, University of Geneva, Switzerland
Editorial Advisory Board B. Allen-Diaz, Department ESPM-Ecosystem Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA. R.S. Bradley, Department of Geosciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA, USA. W. Cramer, Department of Global Change and Natural Systems, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany. H.F. Diaz, Climate Diagnostics Center, Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, NOAA, Boulder, CO, USA. S. Erkman, Institute for communication and Analysis of Science and Technology–ICAST, Geneva, Switzerland. R. Garcia Herrera, Faculated de Fisicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain. M. Lal, Center for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology, New Delhi, India. U. Luterbacher, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland. I. Noble, CRC for Greenhouse Accounting and Research School of Biological Science, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia. L. Tessier, Institut Mediterranéen d’Ecologie et Paléoécologie, Marseille, France. F. Toth, International Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Ec Joint Research Centre, Ispra (VA), Italy. M.M. Verstraete, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Ec Joint Research Centre, Ispra (VA), Italy.
For other titles published in this series, go to www.springer.com/series/5588
David Lobell Marshall Burke ●
Editors
Climate Change and Food Security Adapting Agriculture to a Warmer World
Editors
David Lobell Stanford University CA, USA [email protected]
Marshall Burke Stanford University CA, USA [email protected]
ISBN 978-90-481-2951-5 (HB) e-ISBN 978-90-481-2953-9 ISBN 978-90-481-2952-2 (PB) DOI 10.1007/978-90-481-2953-9 Springer Dordrecht Heidelberg London New York Library of Congress Control Number: 2009928835 © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010 No part of this work may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, microfilming, recording or otherwise, without written permission from the Publisher, with the exception of any material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Printed on acid-free paper Springer is part of Springer Science+Business Media (www.springer.com)
Contents
Part I 1
Introduction ............................................................................................. David Lobell and Marshall Burke
3
2
Climate Effects on Food Security: An Overview ................................. Marshall Burke and David Lobell
13
3
Climate Models and Their Projections of Future Changes................. Claudia Tebaldi and Reto Knutti
31
Part II 4
Crop Response to Climate: Ecophysiological Models ......................... Jeffrey W. White and Gerrit Hoogenboom
59
5
Crop Responses to Climate: Time-Series Models .............................
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