Combined effect of pulse density and grid cell size on predicting and mapping aboveground carbon in fast-growing Eucalyp

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RESEARCH

Combined effect of pulse density and grid cell size on predicting and mapping aboveground carbon in fast‑growing Eucalyptus forest plantation using airborne LiDAR data Carlos Alberto Silva1,2*, Andrew Thomas Hudak2, Carine Klauberg2, Lee Alexandre Vierling1, Carlos Gonzalez‑Benecke3, Samuel de Padua Chaves Carvalho4, Luiz Carlos Estraviz Rodriguez5 and Adrián Cardil6

Abstract  Background:  LiDAR remote sensing is a rapidly evolving technology for quantifying a variety of forest attributes, including aboveground carbon (AGC). Pulse density influences the acquisition cost of LiDAR, and grid cell size influ‑ ences AGC prediction using plot-based methods; however, little work has evaluated the effects of LiDAR pulse density and cell size for predicting and mapping AGC in fast-growing Eucalyptus forest plantations. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of LiDAR pulse density and grid cell size on AGC prediction accuracy at plot and stand-levels using airborne LiDAR and field data. We used the Random Forest (RF) machine learning algorithm to model AGC using LiDAR-derived metrics from LiDAR collections of 5 and 10 pulses ­m−2 (RF5 and RF10) and grid cell sizes of 5, 10, 15 and 20 m. Results:  The results show that LiDAR pulse density of 5 pulses ­m−2 provides metrics with similar prediction accuracy for AGC as when using a dataset with 10 pulses ­m−2 in these fast-growing plantations. Relative root mean square errors (RMSEs) for the RF5 and RF10 were 6.14 and 6.01%, respectively. Equivalence tests showed that the predicted AGC from the training and validation models were equivalent to the observed AGC measurements. The grid cell sizes for mapping ranging from 5 to 20 also did not significantly affect the prediction accuracy of AGC at stand level in this system. Conclusion:  LiDAR measurements can be used to predict and map AGC across variable-age Eucalyptus plantations with adequate levels of precision and accuracy using 5 pulses ­m−2 and a grid cell size of 5 m. The promising results for AGC modeling in this study will allow for greater confidence in comparing AGC estimates with varying LiDAR sampling densities for Eucalyptus plantations and assist in decision making towards more cost effective and efficient forest inventory. Keywords:  Carbon modeling, Remote sensing, Modeling, Forest inventory, Random forest Background Atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration ­ [CO2] has increased by 40% since pre-industrial times, contributing *Correspondence: [email protected] 1 Department of Natural Resources and Society, College of Natural Resources, University of Idaho, (UI), 875 Perimeter Drive, Moscow, ID 83843, USA Full list of author information is available at the end of the article

greatly to climate change [1]. Managing the exchange of ­CO2 and other greenhouse gases between the biosphere and the atmosphere is an important strategy for mitigating climate change [2]. Forest ecosystems play a key role in the global carbon cycle [3–6], since carbon is exchanged naturally betwee