Demographic Processes, Occupation and Technological Change Symposium

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Demographic Processes, Occupation and Technological Change Symposium held at the University of Bamberg from 17th to 18th November 1989

With 43 Figures

Physica-Verlag Heidelberg

Professor Dr. Ulrich Blum Professor Dr. Josef Schmid University of Bamberg B.P.1549 D-8600 Bamberg

ISBN 978-3-7908-0528-4 ISBN 978-3-642-51550-7 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-642-51550-7 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved, whether the whole or part ofthe material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse ofillustration, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in other ways, and storage in data banks. Duplication ofthis publication or parts thereof is only permitted under the provisions of the German Copyright Law of September9, 1965, in its version ofJune 24, 1985, and a copyright fee must always be paid. Violations fall under the prosecution act of the German Copyright Law. © Physica-Verlag Heidelberg 1991 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 1991 The use ofregistered names, trademarks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. 712017130-543210

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Introduction U. Blum, J. Schmid

VII

Opening Address P.M. Schmidhuber

XI

"The Great Divide"; On Demographic Trends in the EEC D.J. van de Kaa

1

Foreigners in the Countries of the European Community Recent Developments and Future Trends U. Mammey

25

European Employment: Changes in Structure and Quality R.M. Lindley

38

Demographic Development and the Labour Market German and European Perspectives F. Buttler

52

Population Development in Greece According to new Data on Fertility G. N. TziaJetas

70

Technological Change in Manufacturing: Responses of Personnel Management in a Spatial Perspective S. Wagenaar, E. Wever

91

New Concepts of Measuring Technological Change K. Koschatzky

104

Addresses

122

INTRODUCfION

This conference was dedicated to the description, analysis and evaluation of demographic developments, especially to the long-term reduction in population size and the concomitant ageing of the labour force stemming from birth rates below the generational replacement level, in the countries of the European Community. Today, it is already predictable that these developments are bound to have repercussions on occupations and technological changes, although the recent developments in the East have partly postponed, partly reinforced these trends. The drastic changes resulting from an ageing population have already been widely discussed with respect to the social security system, the maintaining of infrastructure, health services and the educational system, however, the direct and indirect effects on technological change and the resulting efforts to preserve one's economic position in the international competition have hardly been mentioned, thus far. In this context the Bamberg Symposium focussed on topics such as the question t