Emerging Critical Technologies and Security in the Asia-Pacific

This volume addresses how 'emerging critical technologies' affect military capabilities, and therefore military advantage, in the Asia-Pacific. Technology is a crucial element of military effectiveness and advantage, particularly with regard to the Asia-P

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Emerging Critical Technologies and Security in the Asia-Pacific Edited by

Richard A. Bitzinger Senior Fellow, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore

Palgrave

macmillan

Selection, introduction and editorial content © Richard A. Bitzinger 2016 Individual chapters © Respective authors 2016 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2016 978-1-137-46127-8 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No portion of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, Saffron House, 6–10 Kirby Street, London EC1N 8TS. Any person who does any unauthorized act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. The authors have asserted their rights to be identified as the authors of this work in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. First published 2016 by PALGRAVE MACMILLAN Palgrave Macmillan in the UK is an imprint of Macmillan Publishers Limited, registered in England, company number 785998, of Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS. Palgrave Macmillan in the US is a division of St Martin’s Press LLC, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10010. Palgrave Macmillan is the global academic imprint of the above companies and has companies and representatives throughout the world. Palgrave® and Macmillan® are registered trademarks in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe and other countries. ISBN 978-1-349-69005-3 DOI 10.1057/9781137461285

ISBN 978-1-137-46128-5 (eBook)

This book is printed on paper suitable for recycling and made from fully managed and sustained forest sources. Logging, pulping and manufacturing processes are expected to conform to the environmental regulations of the country of origin. A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Bitzinger, Richard. Emerging critical technologies and security in the Asia-Pacific / Richard A. Bitzinger, Senior Fellow, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. pages cm Includes index. 1. Military art and science—Technological innovations—Asia. 2. Military art and science—Technological innovations—Pacific Area. 3. Security, International—Asia. 4. Security, International—Pacific Area. I. Title. U43.A8A78 2016 2015032820 355 .03305—dc23

Contents

List of Figures and Tables

vii

Acknowledgments

viii

Notes on Contributors

ix

Introduction Richard A. Bitzinger

1

1 Emerging Technologies and Military Capability Andrew D. James

6

2 The Potential Import of New, Emerging, and Over-the-Horizon Technologies Andrew L. Ross

22

3 Absorbing New Military Capabilities: Defense Technology Acquisition and the Asia-Pacific Martin Lundmark

37

4 Emerging Technologies’ Potential to Change t