Exchange Rate Regimes and Macroeconomic Stability

The Asian crisis of 1997-1998 was a major influence on macroeconomic thinking concerning exchange rate regimes, the functioning of international institutions, such as the IMF and the World Bank, and international contagion of macroeconomic instability fro

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EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES AND MACROECONOMIC STABILITY

edited by

Lok-Sang Ho Lingnan University Hong Kong

Chi-Wa Yuen University of Hong Kong Peking University and Wuhan University Hong Kong

SPRINGER SCIENCE+BUSINESS MEDIA, LLC

Exchange Rate Regimes and Macroeconomic Stability edited by Lok-Sang Ho and Chi-Wa Yuen

ISBN 978-1-4613-5365-2 ISBN 978-1-4615-1041-3 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-4615-1041-3

Copyright@ 2003 Springer Science+Business Media New York Originally published by Kluwer Academic Publishers in 2003 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2003 AlI rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, microfilming, recording, or otherwise, without the written permission from the Publisher, with the exception of any material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Permission for books published in Europe: [email protected] Permissions for books published in the United States of America: [email protected]

Printed on acid-free paper.

CONTENTS

List of Contributors Assaf Razin F oreword Acknowledgments

Vll Xl

xm

Chapter 1

Introduction Lok-Sang Ho and Chi-Wa Yuen

1

Part 1

The Asian Currency Crisis: Responses and Policy Options

7

Chapter 2

Lessons from the Asian Financial Crisis, and the Prospects for Resuming High Growth Wing Thye Woo

9

Chapter 3

Financial Market Stability, Monetary Policy, and the IMF Joseph Stiglitz

Chapter 4

The IMF Approach to the Asian Currency Crises: An Alternative View Charles Adams

Chapter 5

Does Asia Need a Common Currency? Robert Mundell

Chapter 6

Recommending a Currency Basket System for Emerging East Asia Masahiro Kawai

Part 2 Chapter 7

Monetary Policy, Exchange Rate Regimes, and Macroeconomic Stability A Comparative Analysis ofExchange Rate Regimes Naoyuki Yoshino, Sahoko Kaji and Ayako Suzuki

33

55 61

77

105 107

vi

Chapter 8

Chapter 9

Exchange Rate Regimes and Macroeconomic Stability

Bringing about Realistic Exchange Rates: A Post-Asian Financial Crisis Perspective Lok Sang Ho Contemplating the Credibility of Currency Boards Corrinne Ho

133 145

Chapter 10 Currency Board, Asian Financial Crisis, and the Case for 185 Put Options Francis T. Lui, Leonard K. Cheng and Yum K. Kwan Chapter 11 The Currency Board in Hong Kong: Operational Weaknesses and a Proposed Refinement Scheme Alex W.H. Chan

215

Postscript

247

Index

Understanding Crises Chi-Wa Yuen

251

LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS

Charles Adams is Assistant Director at the IMF's Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific. During 2000/2001, he was on a one-year leave of absence at the Asian Development Bank, where he was a senior economic advisor. He has held various positions during his nineteen-year career at the Fund including in the Research, Asia and Pacific, and Policy Development and Review departments. Alex W.H. Chan is Assistant Professor in the School of Economics