Future Studies and Counterfactual Analysis Seeds of the Future
In this volume, the authors contribute to futures research by placing the counterfactual question in the future tense. They explore the possible outcomes of future, and consider how future decisions are turning points that may produce different global out
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Future Studies and Counterfactual Analysis “Ted Gordon is a pioneer in future studies with a deep history of developing methodological innovations. This is a book I would enthusiastically read and keep on my shelf for reference. It is an extremely important contribution to the futures/forecasting domain. I thus recommend it with enthusiasm.” —Paul Saffo, Professor of Engineering at Stanford University and Chair of Future Studies at Singularity University, USA “This should be read for the sheer pleasure of it; it distills Gordon’s lifetime of futures research into an extraordinarily diverse set of vignettes to solve very serious and well documented problems. His uniquely well informed imagination is matched only by the depth of research and citations.” —Jerome C. Glenn, Director of the Millennium Project, Washington, DC, USA “Futurists Theodore Gordon and Mariana Todorova dare to extend forecasting tools to explore the deepest questions about the future survival of our human species. They explore beyond the now imminent self-inflicted external threats to our life-supporting planetary home caused by our limited perception. They also courageously examine our same human cognitive and emotional disabilities which inadvertently allowed deployment of social information technologies that now blind us and may limit our capabilities for self-governance and future cultural evolution. Must reading for all concerned with our common global future.” —Hazel Henderson, CEO of Ethical Markets Media Certified B. Corporation, USA, and author of Mapping the Global Transition to the Solar Age and other books. “Aware of the inherent limitations to our mental vision, Mariana Todorova and Theodore Gordon understand both the relativity of historical perspectives and future outlook which are continuously being recast based on current knowledge and changing attitudes. They remind us of the relativity of all knowledge, both of the past and future. This a precious endowment for it tells us that both our sense of fatalism and blind optimism are poorly grounded in reality. The real reality depends not on what will happen to us, but on the choices we will make.” —Garry Jacobs, Chair of the World Academy of Art and Science, India
Theodore J. Gordon · Mariana Todorova
Future Studies and Counterfactual Analysis Seeds of the Future
Theodore J. Gordon Millennium Project Old Lyme, CT, USA
Mariana Todorova Bulgarian Academy of Sciences Sofia, Bulgaria
ISBN 978-3-030-18436-0 ISBN 978-3-030-18437-7 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-18437-7 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, co
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