Handbook of Quantitative Criminology
The Handbook of Quantitative Criminology is designed to be the authoritative volume on methodological and statistical issues in criminology and criminal justice. At a time when this field is gaining in sophistication and dealing with ever more complex emp
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Alex R. Piquero
•
David Weisburd
Editors
Handbook of Quantitative Criminology
ABC
Editors Alex R. Piquero Florida State University College of Criminology and Criminal Justice Hecht House 634 W. Call Street Tallahassee, Florida [email protected]
David Weisburd Hebrew University of Jerusalem Inst. Criminology 91905 Jerusalem Mount Scopus Israel [email protected] [email protected]
ISBN 978-0-387-77649-1 e-ISBN 978-0-387-77650-7 DOI 10.1007/978-0-387-77650-7 Springer New York Dordrecht Heidelberg London Library of Congress Control Number: 2009942233 c Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2010 ° All rights reserved. This work may not be translated or copied in whole or in part without the written permission of the publisher (Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, 233 Spring Street, New York, NY 10013, USA), except for brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis. Use in connection with any form of information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed is forbidden. The use in this publication of trade names, trademarks, service marks, and similar terms, even if they are not identified as such, is not to be taken as an expression of opinion as to whether or not they are subject to proprietary rights. Printed on acid-free paper Springer is part of Springer Science+Business Media (www.springer.com)
Foreword
Quantitative criminology has certainly come a long way since I was first introduced to a largely qualitative criminology some 40 years ago, when I was recruited to lead a task force on science and technology for the President’s Commission on Law Enforcement and Administration of Justice. At that time, criminology was a very limited activity, depending almost exclusively on the Uniform Crime Reports (UCR) initiated by the FBI in 1929 for measurement of crime based on victim reports to the police and on police arrests. A typical mode of analysis was simple bivariate correlation. Marvin Wolfgang and colleagues were making an important advance by tracking longitudinal data on arrests in Philadelphia, an innovation that was widely appreciated. And the field was very small: I remember attending my first meeting of the American Society of Criminology in about 1968 in an anteroom at New York University; there were about 25–30 people in attendance, mostly sociologists with a few lawyers thrown in. That Society today has over 3,000 members, mostly now drawn from criminology which has established its own clear identity, but augmented by a wide variety of disciplines that include statisticians, economists, demographers, and even a few engineers. This Handbook provides a remarkable testimony to the growth of that field. Following the maxim that “if you can’t measure it, you can’t understand it,” we have seen the early dissatisfaction with the UCR replaced by a wide variety of new approaches to measuring crime victimization and offending. There have been a large number of longitudinal self-report studies t
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