Impacts of disaster on the inbound tourism economy in Kyushu, Japan: a demand side analysis
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Impacts of disaster on the inbound tourism economy in Kyushu, Japan: a demand side analysis Marly Valenti Patandianan1 · Hiroyuki Shibusawa1 Received: 25 February 2020 / Accepted: 21 July 2020 / Published online: 9 September 2020 © The Japan Section of the Regional Science Association International 2020
Abstract Similar to other regions in Japan, the Kyushu region is also known to be prone to disasters. A strong earthquake in Kumamoto and Oita prefectures in the Kyushu region occurred in April 2016. Some tourist destinations closed and cancellations by a large number of travelers (both domestic and inbound) had a significant impact on the tourism industry. This paper explains a methodology to evaluate the impact of earthquake disasters on the Kyushu region’s inbound tourism economy. An IRIO table is estimated with 15 sectors and 245 municipalities and is used to calculate the output and spillover effects on seven prefectures, the capital cities, and several sightseeing cities in the Kyushu region. The inbound regional demand and backward linkage output are evaluated at monthly level after the earthquake. The findings show that Fukuoka prefecture has the highest spillover effect values totally, followed by Oita and Nagasaki prefectures. Furthermore, the highest spillover in the capital city was in Fukuoka, followed by Nagasaki, and Kagoshima. Regarding sightseeing cities, Beppu has higher spillover effects value, followed by Yufu, and Kitakyushu. Within a short period of time, the net effect of the monthly level indicates that the economic damage in Kumamoto and Beppu cities is widespread. However, the economic benefit in Fukuoka city implies less spillover effects. The results suggest that regional economic effects should be assessed at the recovery stage after a disaster based on short- and long-term aspects. Keywords Impacts of disaster · Tourism demand · Inter-regional input–output table · Spillover effect · Kyushu region JEL Classification F6 · R15 · Z3
* Marly Valenti Patandianan [email protected] 1
Toyohashi University of Technology, 1‑1 Hibarigaoka, Tempaku‑cho, Toyohashi, Aichi 441‑8580, Japan
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Vol.:(0123456789)
760
Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science (2020) 4:759–793
1 Introduction Tourism has become a vital source of revenue for both developed and developing nations and often relies on the potential of the beauty of the natural scenery. Tourism is related to enjoying a trip to a destination. Hence, most tourists positioned safety and comfort as most essential if they want to visit a tourism site. Unfortunately, the tourism industry throughout the world is also continually haunted by natural disasters such as floods, typhoons, tsunamis, earthquakes, and volcanic eruptions (Murphy and Bayley 1989; Ritchie 2009). Faulkner (2001) explained that tourism sites anywhere are met with the possibility of experiencing a disaster. Disasters may threaten the safety of visitors and the existence of tourist cities and regions. Japan is one of the countries that has several cities that are
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