Induction, Probability, and Causation
In his essay on 'Broad on Induction and Probability' (first published in 1959, reprinted in this volume), Professor G. H. von Wright writes: "If Broad's writings on induction have remained less known than some of his other contributions to philosophy . .
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SYNTHESE LIBRARY MONOGRAPHS ON EPISTEMOLOGY, LOGIC, METHODOLOGY, PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE, SOCIOLOGY OF SCIENCE AND OF KNOWLEDGE, AND ON THE MATHEMATICAL METHODS OF SOCIAL AND BEHAVIORAL SCIENCES
Editors: DONALD DAVIDSON, JAAKKO HINTIKKA,
Princeton University
University of Helsinki and Stanford University
GABRIEL NuCHELMANS, WESLEY
C.
SALMON,
University of Leyden Indiana University
INDUCTION, PROBABILITY, AND CAUSATION
Selected Papers by C. D. Broad
SPRINGER-SCIENCE+BUSINESS MEDIA, B.V.
ISBN 978-90-481-8317-3 ISBN 978-94-017-1868-4 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-94-017-1868-4 1968 AlI rights reserved No part of this book may be reproduced in any form, by print, photoprint, microfilm, or any other means, without permission from the publisher
Softcover reprint ofthe hardcover Ist edition 1968
EDITORIAL PREFACE
In his essay on 'Broad on Induction and Probability' (first published in 1959, reprinted in this volume), Professor G. H. von Wright writes: "If Broad's writings on induction have remained less known than some of his other contributions to philosophy ... , one reason for this is that Broad never has published a book on the subject. It is very much to be hoped that, for the benefit of future students, Broad's chief papers on induction and probability will be collected in a single volume .... " The present volume attempts to perform this service to future students of induction and probability. The suggestion of publishing a volume of this kind in Synthese Library was first made by Professor Donald Davidson, one of the editors of the Library, and was partly prompted by Professor von Wright's statement. In carrying out this suggestion, the editors of Synthese Library have had the generous support of Professor Broad who has among other things supplied a new Addendum to 'The Principles of Problematic Induction' and corrected a number of misprints found in the first printings of this paper. The editors gratefully acknowledge Professor Broad's help and encouragement. A bibliography of Professor Broad's writings (up to 1959) has been compiled by Dr. C. Lewy and has appeared in P.A. Schilpp, editor, The Philosophy of C.D. Broad (The Library of Living Philosophers), pp. 833-852. A brief list of Broad's writings on induction and probability is found in Professor von Wright's article (pp. 228-229 infra). As can be seen from a comparison between this list and the table of contents of the present volume, all Broad's systematic papers on induction and probability are reprinted here. In addition to them, Professor Broad has published in Mind a series of important critical notices or review articles in this area. In the words of Professor von Wright, these "may be said to constitute a running commentary on the developments in inductive logic from the appearance of
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EDITORIAL PREFACE
Keynes' Treatise in 1921 to Kneale's Probability and Induction in 1949." These review articles contain many highly interesting comments on and proposals for further development of the ideas put forward in the work to be reviewed. Because
