Land Use Decision-Making Strategy in Bandung: An Agent-Based Modeling Approach
Land system science as a complex system has been explored by using various approaches such as remote sensing, economics, ecology, and geography. Agent-based modeling (ABM), as a third way of doing science, enables researchers to explore the complex system
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Abstract Land system science as a complex system has been explored by using various approaches such as remote sensing, economics, ecology, and geography. Agent-based modeling (ABM), as a third way of doing science, enables researchers to explore the complex system deeper on land science. Interdisciplinary approach has brought land use science into agent-based modeling. Bottom-up view and inclusion of agent as real-life representation brought a powerful method to analyze land use change and cover (LUCC) and explore coupling between human and natural system. Land use decision-making is a function of interaction between internal models of the land manager with its environment. This study incorporates two variables, commercial and farm expectation, as a representation between productivity farmland and other commercial objectives of the land. Agents have the ability to alter land use based on rational and irrational decision-making process. The objective of this paper is to capture the behavior of the agent and observe land use change that resulted from agent decision-making. Keywords Agent-based modeling • Decision-making strategy • Land use change and cover
1 Introduction Java Island, in the early 1990s, has been experiencing the beginning of change of land use, especially the agricultural land. City expansion caused to shift the agricultural land into other cover, such as settlement and industrial area. Economic growth has been a catalyst for urban growth in Java Island [1, 2]. The economic
I.F. Nurdayat () Institut Teknologi Bandung, Bandung, Indonesia e-mail: [email protected] M. Siallagan School of Business and Management, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Bandung, Indonesia e-mail: [email protected] © Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2017 U.S. Putro et al. (eds.), Agent-Based Approaches in Economics and Social Complex Systems IX, Agent-Based Social Systems 15, DOI 10.1007/978-981-10-3662-0_7
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growth that centered in urban area demanded goods and services other than food. Food production moves farther relative to urban area. Average return of agriculture is lower than other opportunities in urban area; thus, farmers change their activities that resulted from land trade or land use change. Aggregation of those phenomena has driven lower agricultural production which in the long term becomes vulnerable to national food security [3]. In addition, stagnant productivity in agricultural production cannot increase regional and national production capacity. Study about land use change and cover (LUCC) is important to understand its land use impact and study the impacts. Bandung is the capital of Jawa Barat province. Established in the colonial era, Bandung was developed to become a plantation hub. This plantation hub grew becoming the center of economic activity in present day. Based on the government’s statistics agency, in the end of 2014, Bandung was inhabited by 2,470,802 people. This figure reflected a slight decrease from previous year, where 2,483,977 people were
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