Methods and Tools for Drought Analysis and Management

Implementation of effective drought management policies requires both advanced technologies and appropriate methods. Monitoring and forecasting systems, practical tools for risk assessment, as well as simple and objective criteria to select and implement

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Water Science and Technology Library VOLUME 62

Editor-in-Chief V.P. Singh, Texas A&M University, College Station, U.S.A. Editorial Advisory Board M. Anderson, Bristol, U.K. L. Bengtsson, Lund, Sweden J. F. Cruise, Huntsville, U.S.A. U. C. Kothyari, Roorkee, India S. E. Serrano, Lexington, U.S.A. D. Stephenson, Johannesburg, South Africa W. G. Strupczewski, Warsaw, Poland

The titles published in this series are listed at the end of this volume.

METHODS AND TOOLS FOR DROUGHT ANALYSIS AND MANAGEMENT edited by

GIUSEPPE ROSSI Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Catania, Italy

TEODORO VEGA Sicilian Regional Agency for Waste and Water, Water Observatory, Palermo, Italy

and

BRUNELLA BONACCORSO Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Catania, Italy

A C.I.P. Catalogue record for this book is available from the Library of Congress.

ISBN 978-1-4020-5923-0 (HB) ISBN 978-1-4020-5924-7 (e-book)

Published by Springer, P.O. Box 17, 3300 AA Dordrecht, The Netherlands. www.springer.com

Cover Illustration: Drought management planning process. Figure 5 in Chapter 16 by Rossi, G., Castiglione, L. and Bonaccorso, B.: Guidelines for planning and implementing drought mitigation measures.

Printed on acid-free paper

All Rights Reserved © 2007 Springer No part of this work may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, microfilming, recording or otherwise, without written permission from the Publisher, with the exception of any material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

List of Contributors

ix

Preface

xv

PART I

DROUGHT MONITORING AND FORECASTING

1.

Drought Monitoring and Forecasting at Large Scale I. Bordi and A. Sutera

2.

Monitoring and Forecasting Drought on a Regional Scale: Emilia-Romagna Region C. Cacciamani, A. Morgillo, S. Marchesi and V. Pavan

3.

4.

5.

Development of the Piedmont Region Hydrological Bulletin as a Support to Water Resources Monitoring and Management C. Ronchi, D. Rabuffetti, A. Salandin, A. Vargiu, S. Barbero and R. Pelosini Is Drought Occurrence and Severity Increasing due to Climate Change? Analysing Drought Class Transitions with Loglinear Models E. E. Moreira, A. A. Paulo and L. S. Pereira Stochastic Forecasting of Drought Indices A. Cancelliere, G. Di Mauro, B. Bonaccorso and G. Rossi

PART II 6.

3

29

49

67 83

DROUGHT DESCRIPTION THROUGH AGROMETEOROLOGICAL INDICES

Use of a New Agricultural Drought Index within a Regional Drought Observatory A. Matera, G. Fontana, V. Marletto, F. Zinoni, L. Botarelli and F. Tomei v

103

vi 7.

8.

9.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Distributed Estimation of Actual Evapotranspiration through Remote Sensing Techniques G. Calcagno, G. Mendicino, G. Monacelli, A. Senatore and P. Versace Testing a Modification of the Palmer Drought Severity Index for Mediterranean Environments L. S. Pereira, R. D. Rosa a