Model-Based Demography Essays on Integrating Data, Technique and The

 Late in a career of more than sixty years, Thomas Burch, an internationally known social demographer, undertook a wide-ranging methodological critique of demography. This open access volume contains  a selection of resulting papers, s

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Thomas K. Burch

Model-Based Demography Essays on Integrating Data, Technique and Theory

Demographic Research Monographs A Series of the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research Editor-in-chief James W. Vaupel Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research Rostock, Germany

More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/5521

Thomas K. Burch

Model-Based Demography Essays on Integrating Data, Technique and Theory

Thomas K. Burch Department of Sociology and Population Research Group University of Victoria Victoria, BC, Canada

ISSN 1613-5520 ISSN 2197-9286 (electronic) Demographic Research Monographs ISBN 978-3-319-65432-4 ISBN 978-3-319-65433-1 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-65433-1 Library of Congress Control Number: 2017951857 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2018. This book is published open access. Open Access This book is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this book are included in the book’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the book’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. Printed on acid-free paper This Springer imprint is published by Springer Nature The registered company is Springer International Publishing AG The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland

For my wife, Karen Halling Burch, and in memory of my son, Thaddeus J. Burch

Preface

The papers in this collection – most of them previously published – are the fruits of an intellectual odyssey over the last decades of my career as a sociologist/demographer. Beginning in the late 1980s, longstanding questions about the status of demography as a science came to the surface, and I began to pursue them