No detrimental effect of a positive family history on postoperative upgrading and upstaging in men with low risk and fav

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ORIGINAL ARTICLE

No detrimental effect of a positive family history on postoperative upgrading and upstaging in men with low risk and favourable intermediate‑risk prostate cancer: implications for active surveillance Kathleen Herkommer1 · Nikola Maier1 · Donna P. Ankerst2 · Stefan Schiele1 · Jürgen E. Gschwend1 · Valentin H. Meissner1  Received: 8 August 2020 / Accepted: 3 October 2020 © The Author(s) 2020

Abstract Purpose  To assess whether a first-degree family history or a fatal family history of prostate cancer (PCa) are associated with postoperative upgrading and upstaging among men with low risk and favourable intermediate-risk (FIR) PCa and to provide guidance on clinical decision making for active surveillance (AS) in this patient population. Methods  Participants in the German Familial Prostate Cancer database diagnosed from 1994 to 2019 with (1) low risk (clinical T1c–T2a, biopsy Gleason Grade Group (GGG) 1, PSA  10 to ≤ 20, n (%) DRE, n (%)  Non-suspicious  Suspicious Pathological tumour stage, n (%)  ≤ pT2c  pT3a  pT3b

Table 1  (continued) 2607 (63.7) 630 (15.4) 854 (20.9) 183 (7.2) 2356 (92.8) 67 (10.6) 563 (89.4) 118 (13.8) 736 (86.2) 313 (12.0) 2294 (88.0) 152 (24.1) 478 (75.9) 142 (16.6) 712 (83.4) 64.1 (6.6) 389 (9.5) 1741 (42.6) 1961 (47.9) 3934 (74.7) 748 (18.3) 286 (7.0) 3934 (96.2) 157 (3.8) 2063 (50.4) 2027 (49.6) 3565 (87.1) 139 (3.4) 387 (9.5) 7.0 (3.3) 475 (11.6) 3010 (73.6) 606 (14.8) 3218 (78.7) 873 (21.3) 3509 (85.8) 437 (10.7) 124 (3.0)

 pT4 Pathological node stage, n (%)  pN0  pN1 Surgical margin, n (%)  R0  R1 Pathological Gleason Grade Group, n (%)  1  2/3  2  3  4 Adjuvant radiotherapy, n (%)  Yes  No Adjuvant hormone therapy, n (%)  Yes  No

21 (0.5) 4025 (98.5) 61 (1.5) 2651 (88.7) 339 (11.3) 2326 (58.6) 120 (3.0) 1205 (30.4) 220 (5.5) 97 (2.5) 158 (3.9) 3933 (96.1) 107 (2.6) 3984 (97.4)

PCa prostate cancer, SD standard deviation, FIR favourable intermediate risk, PSA prostate-specific antigen, DRE digital rectal examination *Upgrading was defined as postoperative Gleason Grade Group 3 tumour in radical prostatectomy **Upstaging was defined as pT3–pT4 or pN1 disease at radical prostatectomy

age (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.03–1.08) and higher PSA at diagnosis (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.05–1.23) were associated with postoperative upgrading. Secondary non-urologic cancers (OR 0.52, 95% CI 0.28–0.97) were associated with a lower risk of upgrading. Higher PSA at diagnosis (1.18, 95% CI 1.11–1.26) was the only factor associated with postoperative upstaging.

Predictors of upgrading and upstaging in men with FIR PCa In single logistic regression analyses, neither family history nor fatal family history were associated with upgrading and upstaging in men with Gleason 6 FIR and Gleason 3 + 4 FIR PCa (Tables 3, 4). In multiple regression analyses, higher PSA level at diagnosis (1.14, 95% CI 1.03–1.26) and suspicious DRE (1.73, 95% CI 1.08–2.78) were associated with upgrading among Gleason 3 + 4 FIR PCa patients. Higher PSA level at diagnosis (1.16, 95% CI 1.05–1.27) was associated with an increased ri