Nuclear Deterrence: A Guarantee for or Threat to Strategic Stability?

In recent literature, much attention has been paid to factors that affect nuclear deterrence and stability from the outside: new missile defence systems, non-nuclear (conventional) high-precision long-range weapons, the influence of third and threshold nu

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Frans Osinga Tim Sweijs Editors

NL ARMS Netherlands Annual Review of Military Studies

Editor-in-Chief Patrick Oonincx, Breda, The Netherlands

This peer-reviewed series offers an overview of cutting-edge scientific research on military sciences drawing on scholarship from researchers at the Faculty of Military Sciences (FMS) of the Netherlands Defence Academy and colleagues around the world. Research at the Faculty is military-relevant and typically multi-disciplinary in nature. It is concerned with themes including but not limited to: - The conduct of contemporary war - Military strategy - Leadership and ethics - Military law and history - Command and control in military operations - Cyber security - Operational analysis - Navigation - Combat systems With NL ARMS the Netherlands Defence Academy seeks to contribute to a growing body of international comparative research in military sciences.

Editorial Office Faculty of Military Sciences Netherlands Defence Academy P.O. Box 90 002 4800 PA Breda The Netherlands

More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/13908

Frans Osinga Tim Sweijs •

Editors

NL ARMS Netherlands Annual Review of Military Studies 2020 Deterrence in the 21st Century—Insights from Theory and Practice

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Editors Frans Osinga Faculty of Military Sciences Netherlands Defence Academy Breda, The Netherlands

Tim Sweijs Faculty of Military Sciences Netherlands Defence Academy Breda, The Netherlands

ISSN 1387-8050 ISSN 2452-235X (electronic) NL ARMS ISBN 978-94-6265-418-1 ISBN 978-94-6265-419-8 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-6265-419-8 Published by T.M.C. ASSER PRESS, The Hague, The Netherlands www.asserpress.nl Produced and distributed for T.M.C. ASSER PRESS by Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2021. This book is an open access publication. Open Access This book is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this book are included in the book’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the book’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. No part of this work may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, microfilming, recording or otherwise, without written permission from the Publisher, with the exception of any material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by