Nuclear Weapons and Deterrence Stability in South Asia
“This is a carefully argued, empirically sound and theoretically deft analysis of deterrence stability and its limits in South Asia. It provides appropriate details about the diplomatic and strategic postures of both India and Pakistan, and it discusses p
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Devin T. Hagerty
Nuclear Weapons and Deterrence Stability in South Asia
Devin T. Hagerty
Nuclear Weapons and Deterrence Stability in South Asia
Devin T. Hagerty Department of Political Science University of Maryland, Baltimore County Baltimore, MD, USA
ISBN 978-3-030-21397-8 ISBN 978-3-030-21398-5 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-21398-5 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. Cover illustration: Pattern © Melisa Hasan This Palgrave Pivot imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Switzerland AG The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland
For Barb and Viv, with love
Preface
On February 14, 2019, a suicide bomber drove a car packed with explosives into a long convoy of vehicles transporting Indian security forces toward Srinagar, on the Indian side of the Line of Control (LOC) in Jammu and Kashmir.1 Near Pulwama, the bomber’s improvised explosive device (IED) tore through one of the vehicles, killing 40 paramilitary troops of the Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF), in the deadliest attack on Indian security personnel since an insurgency erupted in 1989 against New Delhi’s rule in the state. Jaish-e-Mohammed (“Army of Mohammed”—JeM), a Pakistanbased terrorist group, took credit for the blast, and an unfortunately familiar scenario began to unfold. New Delhi immediately blamed Pakistan for the “heinous and despicable” attack, demanding that it “stop supporting terrorists and terror groups operating from their territory and dismantle the infrastructure operated by terrorist outfits to launch attacks in other countries.”2 Islamabad countered that “we strongly reject any insinuation by elements in the Indian government and media circles that seek
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