Policy Uncertainty and Risk Conceptual Developments and Approaches
Policy Uncertainty and Risk presents a contribution to risk analysis and risk management in public policy and management at large. Special emphasis is put on the utilization of scientific knowledge by decision-makers in instances where knowledge in both s
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POLICY UNCERTAINTY AND RISK Conceptual Developments and Approaches by
Tomas Hellstrom Chalmers University ofTechnology, Sweden and
Merle Jacob Chalmers University ofTechnology, Sweden
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Springer Science+Business Media, LLC
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Hellstrom, Tomas, 1971Policy uncertainty and risk:conceptual developments and approaches / by Tomas Hellstrom and Merle Iacob. p.cm . Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-1-4613-5614-1 ISBN 978-1-4615-1559-3 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-4615-1559-3 1. Risk management. 2. Policy sciences. 3. Uncertainty. 1. Iacob, Merle, 1963II. Title. HD61.H382000 658. 15'5--dc21
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Copyright © 2001 Springer Science+Business Media New York Originally published by Kluwer Academic Publishers in 2001 Softcover reprint ofthe hardcover lst edition 2001 Ali rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, mechanical, photo-copying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher, Springer Science +Business Media, LLC.
Printed on acid-free paper.
About the Authors
Tomas Hellstrom has a PhD in Theory of Science and Research from Gothenburg University in Sweden. He has written on risk and organization as well as on the management of knowledge in large enterprises. For the last two years he has been located at the Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, where he has been working with among others the Swedish Rescue Agency, The Swedish Council for Planning and Coordination of Research (FRN), and the Swedish insurance company Ldnsforsdkringsgruppen. Merle Jacob is Associate Professor at Chalmers University of Technology. She has a PhD in Theory of Science and Research from Gothenburg University, and has conducted research on innovation and product development as well as on technology and sustainable development.
Contents
About the Authors Preface Acknow ledgements
v ix xiii
1. Studies in Risk, Uncertainty and Science-Policy Interaction 2. Institutional Uncertainty and Science-Policy Interaction
35
3. Institutional Uncertainty in the Implementation of Marine Protected Areas
51
4. Constitutive Policy Making and Probabilistic Risk Assessment
67
5. Institutional Risk and the BSE-CJD Crisis
83
6. The Significance of Policy as Theory
102
References
119
Index
131
Preface
The discourse on risk has undergone many facelifts in the recent decades. On a political level it has gone from technocratic dreams of comprehensive risk assessment and risk communication schemes, often underpinned by fault-tree models and risk perception studies, to post-modem, culturally infused approaches to risk which are sensitised to multiple interpretations and contested expert domains. These views on risk co-exist and co-evolve. In many respects this book is a result of such parallel developments and of the analytical tensions they have created, both for academics and for policy makers. The underpinning ideas of this book are th
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