Population Change and Rural Society
CALVIN L. BEALE In considering how to introduce the subject of rural population change in st the 21 Century, I ?nd myself re?ecting on my own experience as a demographer for the U. S. Department of Agriculture. When I arrived at the Department, the post-W
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THE SPRINGER SERIES ON
DEMOGRAPHIC METHODS AND POPULATION ANALYSIS Series Editor
KENNETH C. LAND Duke University In recent decades, there has been a rapid development of demographic models and methods and an explosive growth in the range of applications of population analysis. This series seeks to provide a publication outlet both for high-quality textual and expository books on modern techniques of demographic analysis and for works that present exemplary applications of such techniques to various aspects of population analysis. Topics appropriate for the series include: r General demographic methods r Techniques of standardization r Life table models and methods r Multistate and multiregional life tables, analyses, and projections r Demographic aspects of biostatistics and epidemiology r Stable population theory and its extensions r Methods of indirect estimation r Stochastic population models r Event history analysis, duration analysis, and hazard regression models r Demographic projection methods and population forecasts r Techniques of applied demographic analysis, regional and local population estimates and projections r Methods of estimaion and projection for business and health care applications r Methods and estimates for unique populations such as schools and students Volumes in the series are of interest to researchers, professionals, and students in demography, sociology, economics, statistics, geography and regional science, public health and health care management, epidemiology, biostatistics, actuarial science, business, and related fields. The titles published in this series are listed at the end of this volume.
Population Change and Rural Society Edited by
William A. Kandel Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture Washington, DC, USA and
David L. Brown Department of Development Sociology, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA
A C.I.P. Catalogue record for this book is available from the Library of Congress.
ISBN-10 1-4020-3901-8 (PB) ISBN-13 978-1-4020-3901-0 (PB) ISBN-10 1-4020-3911-5 (HB) ISBN-13 978-1-4020-3911-9 (HB) ISBN-10 1-4020-3902-6 (e-book) ISBN-13 978-1-4020-3902-7 (e-book)
Published by Springer, P.O. Box 17, 3300 AA Dordrecht, The Netherlands. www.springer.com
Printed on acid-free paper
All rights reserved. C 2006 Springer No part of this work may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, microfilming, recording or otherwise, without written permission from the Publisher, with the exception of any material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Printed in the Netherlands.
Dedication
For
James Copp An intellectual leader in the discipline of Rural Sociology, and our friend and longtime colleague
CONTENTS
Contributors ................................................................................ xi Acknowledgements .........................................................
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