Probability Theory and Some Useful Probability Distributions

Effective Bayesian inference requires familiarity with probability distributions. In fact, as will be seen in subsequent chapters, the most important choices in Bayesian inference usually involve the choices of distributions to represent the state of know

  • PDF / 5,570,639 Bytes
  • 188 Pages / 453.543 x 683.15 pts Page_size
  • 11 Downloads / 253 Views

DOWNLOAD

REPORT


oduction to Bayesian Methods in Ecology and Natural Resources

Introduction to Bayesian Methods in Ecology and Natural Resources

Edwin J. Green Andrew O. Finley William E. Strawderman •



Introduction to Bayesian Methods in Ecology and Natural Resources

123

Edwin J. Green Department of Ecology Evolution and Natural Resources Cook College, Rutgers University New Brunswick, NJ, USA

Andrew O. Finley Department Forestry & Geography Michigan State University East Lansing, MI, USA

William E. Strawderman Department of Statistics Rutgers University Piscataway, NJ, USA

ISBN 978-3-030-60749-4 ISBN 978-3-030-60750-0 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-60750-0

(eBook)

© Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, expressed or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Switzerland AG The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland

To Rosemary, Jimmy, Tara, Anthony, Marla, EJ, Mandy, Jane, and Amelia Sarah, Ava, Oliver, Callum, James, Linda, and Gail Rob, Myla, Bill, Jinny, Heather, Jim, Kay, Matt, Will, Tom, Evan, Emma, AJ, and Lily In memory of Susan

Contents

. . . . . .

. . . . . .

. . . . . .

. . . . . .

1 2 3 4 6 9

2 Probability Theory and Some Useful Probability Distributions . . 2.1 Discrete and Continuous Random Variables . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2 Expectation, Mean, Standard Deviation, and Variance . . . . . . 2.3 Unconditional, Conditional, Marginal, and Joint Distributions 2.4 Likelihood Functions and Random Samples . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.5 Some Useful Discrete Probability Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . 2.5.1 Binomial Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.5.2 Multinomial Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.5.3 Poisson Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.6 Some Useful Cont