Assessing subsidence susceptibility to coal mining using frequency ratio, statistical index and Mamdani fuzzy models: ev

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ORIGINAL ARTICLE

Assessing subsidence susceptibility to coal mining using frequency ratio, statistical index and Mamdani fuzzy models: evidence from Raniganj coalfield, India Sufia Rehman1 · Mehebub Sahana2 · Shyamal Dutta3 · Haroon Sajjad1 · Xuang Song4 · Kashif Imdad5 · Jie Dou6 Received: 25 October 2019 / Accepted: 22 July 2020 © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2020

Abstract Raniganj, an important coalfield in India, is susceptible to mining subsidence, ejection of toxicants in the environment and huge subsurface destruction. Mining with opencast method poses a great risk to the surrounding areas of this coalfield. Anthropogenic and natural activities have caused ground movement leading to subsidence in Raniganj coalfield. Existing knowledge on subsidence susceptibility to coal mining in Raniganj coalfield is scant. The study makes an attempt to analyze mining subsidence susceptibility in Raniganj coalfield using site-specific parameters. We first prepared subsidence inventory map to identify old subsidence locations and to construct the model. It was later utilized for validating the models. Fifteen site-specific parameters related to subsidence were chosen to analyze coal mining subsidence. Frequency ratio (Fr), statistical index (SI) and Mamdani fuzzy (Mf) models were utilized to assess their effectiveness in preparing susceptibility map. Findings of the study revealed very high susceptibility in the central part, high susceptibility in north-western part and moderate susceptibility in the eastern part of Raniganj coalfield. Low and very low susceptibility was found in those parts having largest area under vegetation and water bodies. The models were validated through ROC curve, seed cell area index (SCAI) and spatially agreed area approach. Mamdani fuzzy model with highest success rate (87%) and prediction accuracy (85%) was found the best fit model for analyzing mining subsidence susceptibility. The framework of the methodology will be instructive for analyzing susceptibility at different geographical locations. Keywords  Subsidence susceptibility · Conditioning parameters · Mamdani fuzzy model · ROC curve · Raniganj coalfield

Introduction Various scholars have assessed mining subsidence but not many efforts were made to examine its impact on

environment (Quanyuan et al. 2009; Park et al. 2012; Howladar 2016; Mondal et al. 2016). Kleinhans and Van Rooy (2016) analyzed the subsidence of sinkholes in the dolomites of East Rand, South Africa and found geological

* Haroon Sajjad [email protected]

1



Department of Geography, Jamia Milia Islamia, Jamia Nagar, New Delhi 110025, India

Sufia Rehman [email protected]

2



School of Environment, Education and Development (SEED), University of Manchester, Manchester, UK

Mehebub Sahana [email protected]

3



Department of Geography, The University of Burdwan, Bardhaman, West Bengal 713104, India

Shyamal Dutta [email protected]

4



Spatial Information Science, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan

Xuang Song s