Before Military Intervention Upstream Stabilisation in Theory and Pr
This book explores the natures of recent stabilisation efforts and global upstream threats. As prevention is always cheaper than the crisis of state collapse or civil war, the future character of conflict will increasingly involve upstream stabilisation o
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Upstream Stabilisation in Theory and Practice
Before Military Intervention
Timothy Clack · Robert Johnson Editors
Before Military Intervention Upstream Stabilisation in Theory and Practice
Editors Timothy Clack St Peter’s College University of Oxford Oxford, UK
Robert Johnson Pembroke College University of Oxford Oxford, UK
ISBN 978-3-319-98436-0 ISBN 978-3-319-98437-7 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-98437-7 Library of Congress Control Number: 2018951709 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. Cover image: A soldier from 4th Battalion The Rifles (4 RIFLES) rushes through a stream during a training exercise at the British Army Training Unit Kenya (BATUK). © Crown Copyright Cover design: Akihiro Nakayama This Palgrave Macmillan imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Switzerland AG The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland
Foreword
Almost two decades into the twenty-first century, the only certainty is that the strategic outlook will continue to be extremely uncertain. The pace of political, technological and demographic change continues to accelerate, and their compound effects frustrate forecasters. There is no shortage of threats with which we need to contend, whether resurgent or emergent state actors, or the multiplicity of rapidly mutating substate groups. Coupled with environmental change and population flows, these threats and hazards combine as potent cocktails of human suffering. Even when adequate governance is in place, the consequences are very rarely contained by local or regional boundaries. And if local governance is inadequate these crises rapidly escalate, usually presenting trans-regional (and occasionally global) challen
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