Solving the Dynamic Complexity Dilemma Predictive and Prescripti
Dynamic complexity results from hidden, unknown factors—or more precisely, interactions between factors—that can unexpectedly impact the performance of systems. When the influences of dynamic complexity are not measured and understood, new n
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lving the Dynamic Complexity Dilemma Predictive and Prescriptive Business Management: Answering the Need for a New Paradigm
Solving the Dynamic Complexity Dilemma
Nabil Abu el Ata Maurice J. Perks •
Solving the Dynamic Complexity Dilemma Predictive and Prescriptive Business Management: Answering the Need for a New Paradigm
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Nabil Abu el Ata Maurice J. Perks Accretive Technologies Inc. New York, NY USA
ISBN 978-3-642-54309-8 DOI 10.1007/978-3-642-54310-4
ISBN 978-3-642-54310-4
(eBook)
Library of Congress Control Number: 2014944542 Springer Heidelberg New York Dordrecht London Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2014 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. Exempted from this legal reservation are brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis or material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the Copyright Law of the Publisher’s location, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer. Permissions for use may be obtained through RightsLink at the Copyright Clearance Center. Violations are liable to prosecution under the respective Copyright Law. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. While the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication, neither the authors nor the editors nor the publisher can accept any legal responsibility for any errors or omissions that may be made. The publisher makes no warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein. Printed on acid-free paper Springer is part of Springer Science+Business Media (www.springer.com)
This book is dedicated to the inspirational science of two: Henri Poincare and Jean Kovalevsky. As fathers of modern Perturbation, they along with my own father—who taught me curiosity and perseverance—have been a source of great motivation. And to new generations who will hopefully follow in my fathers’ footsteps by dedicating themselves to the March and Quest for the betterment of humankind… –Nabil Abu el Ata This book is dedicated to the memory of my late wife Cynthia and to my wife Penny. –Maurice J. Perks
Foreword
Increasing complexity is a phenomenon experienced by nearly everyone, bu
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