The Magnitude of Blood Pressure Reduction Predicts Poor In-Hospital Outcome in Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage
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ORIGINAL WORK
The Magnitude of Blood Pressure Reduction Predicts Poor In‑Hospital Outcome in Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage Afshin A. Divani1* , Xi Liu2, Alexander Petersen2, Simona Lattanzi3, Craig S. Anderson4,5,6, Wendy Ziai7, Michel T. Torbey1, Tom J. Moullaali4,8, Michael L. James9, Alibay Jafarli10, Stephan A. Mayer11, Jose I. Suarez7, J. Claude Hemphill12 and Mario Di Napoli13 © 2020 Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature and Neurocritical Care Society
Abstract Background: Early systolic blood pressure (SBP) reduction is believed to improve outcome after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), but there has been a limited assessment of SBP trajectories in individual patients. We aimed to determine the prognostic significance of SBP trajectories in ICH. Methods: We collected routine data on spontaneous ICH patients from two healthcare systems over 10 years. Unsupervised functional principal components analysis (FPCA) was used to characterize SBP trajectories over first 24 h and their relationship to the primary outcome of unfavorable shift on modified Rankin scale (mRS) at hospital discharge, categorized as an ordinal trichotomous variable (mRS 0–2, 3–4, and 5–6 defined as good, poor, and severe, respectively). Ordinal logistic regression models adjusted for baseline SBP and ICH volume were used to determine the prognostic significance of SBP trajectories. Results: The 757 patients included in the study were 65 ± 23 years old, 56% were men, with a median (IQR) Glasgow come scale of 14 (8). FPCA revealed that mean SBP over 24 h and SBP reduction within the first 6 h accounted for 76.8% of the variation in SBP trajectories. An increase in SBP reduction (per 10 mmHg) was significantly associated with unfavorable outcomes defined as mRS > 2 (adjusted-OR = 1.134; 95% CI 1.044–1.233, P = 0.003). Compared with SBP reduction 60 mmHg, (adjusted-OR = 1.965, 95% CI 1.011, 3.846, P = 0.047). Furthermore, the association of SBP reduction and outcome varied according to initial hematoma volume. Smaller SBP reduction was associated with good outcome (mRS 0–2) in small (
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