Three Domain Modelling and Uncertainty Analysis Applications in Long
This book examines in detail the planning and modelling of local infrastructure like energy systems, including the complexities resulting from various uncertainties. Readers will discover the individual steps involved in infrastructure planning in cities
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Atom Mirakyan Roland De Guio
Three Domain Modelling and Uncertainty Analysis Applications in Long Range Infrastructure Planning
Energy Systems Series editor Panos M. Pardalos, Gainesville, USA
More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/8368
Atom Mirakyan · Roland De Guio
Three Domain Modelling and Uncertainty Analysis Applications in Long Range Infrastructure Planning
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Atom Mirakyan European Institute for Energy Research (EIFER) Karlsruhe Germany
Roland De Guio INSA de Strasbourg Strasbourg France
ISSN 1867-8998 ISSN 1867-9005 (electronic) Energy Systems ISBN 978-3-319-19571-1 ISBN 978-3-319-19572-8 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-19572-8 Library of Congress Control Number: 2015940428 Springer Cham Heidelberg New York Dordrecht London © Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2015 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. Printed on acid-free paper Springer International Publishing AG Switzerland is part of Springer Science+Business Media (www.springer.com)
For my parents convincing me to accept some uncertainties and for my wife
Preface
This book is the synthesis of the results of several research activities during our previous 10 years of experience in energy planning and modelling. While some elements of this work have been published in a Ph.D. thesis, journals and proceedings of international conferences, until now there had been no single resource that described all of these works in a unified view. These scientific and practical experiences are the basis of this book. However, new observations and experiences have also been included, and the discussion is organized for a broad audience. The central problem discussed here is that the local infrastructure, e.g., energy systems, has numerous and diverse subsystems, nonlinear interactions, multiple scales and heterogeneity. Planning and modelling such systems over the long range is a complex task connected with different uncertainties. In addressing this problem,
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